卫生投资对尼日利亚经济发展的影响

Mamman Andekujwo Baajon, M. I. Yakubu, Zechariah Wanujeh
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摘要

本研究探讨了卫生投资对尼日利亚经济发展的影响。研究使用的二手数据来源于尼日利亚中央银行统计公报和世界银行发展指标、世界银行数据库,时间跨度为 1981-2020 年。结果表明,除固定资本形成总额为水平外,所有变量均为一阶静态。单位根检验的混合阶数要求采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)边界协整技术。研究结果表明,变量之间存在协整关系的有力证据。研究证明,健康投资变量(经常性和资本性健康投资、公共教育支出、固定资本形成总额和劳动参与率)对尼日利亚的经济发展有积极影响,但外汇汇率除外,它显示出负面影响。成对格兰杰因果检验结果表明,尼日利亚的卫生投资变量与经济发展之间存在单向和双向因果关系。因此,研究得出结论,除汇率外,卫生投资变量对尼日利亚的经济发展具有积极而重要的影响。此外,本研究还建议政府制定卫生政策,增加对卫生部门的预算拨款,特别是经常性和资本性公共卫生投资;通过对教育部门的法定拨款提高教育质量;提供汇率政策,鼓励个人和私营部门进行人力资本投资。最后,政府应扩大机构能力,培养合格人才,改善卫生和教育部门人员的薪金、工资和工作条件。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of Health Investment on Economic Development in Nigeria
This study examined the impact of health investment on economic development in Nigeria. Using secondary data sourced from Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletins and World Bank development indicators, World Bank Database for the period of 1981- 2020. It applied Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) and Philips-Perron (PP) tests for unit root which indicated that all the variables were stationary at first difference except gross fixed capital formation at level. The mixed order of the unit root tests necessitated the adoption of Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds Cointegration technique. The study submitted that a strong evidence of cointegration among the variables exist. It prove that health investment variables (recurrent and capital health investment, public education expenditure, gross fixed capital formation and labour participation rate) have positive impacts on economic development in Nigeria except foreign exchange rate which reveals negative impact. The result of Pairwise Granger causality test indicated that there were uni-directional and bidirectional causality among health investment variables and economic development in Nigeria. Therefore, it concluded that health investment variables have positive and significant impacts on economic development in Nigeria except exchange rate. Moreover, this study recommended that health policy should be made by government to increase the budgetary allocation to health sector particularly on recurrent and capital public health investment, improve quality of education through statutory allocation to education sector, provide exchange rate policy that will encourage investment in human capital by individuals and private sector. Finally, the government should expand institutional capacity to produce qualified manpower, improve personnel salaries, wages and working conditions in health and education sectors
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