模拟舆论灵活性对流行病期间疫苗接种选择的影响

IF 1.1 4区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS
Rossella Della Marca, Marco Menale
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引用次数: 0

摘要

个人对流行病的自发行为反应是了解感染动态的一个相关因素。在这项工作中,我们考虑了一种疫苗可预防的传染病在人群中传播的情况,在这种情况下,接种疫苗是自愿的,个人可以加入支持接种疫苗或反对接种疫苗的群体。疫苗接种态度的转变可能发生在模仿博弈的动态过程中。我们特别考虑了个人意见灵活性在疫苗接种态度转换中的作用,即个人改变意见倾向的度量。我们考虑了易感-感染-移出类型的疾病动态。然后,我们使用动力学理论工具从微观、中观和宏观尺度描述整个系统。最后,我们通过一些数值模拟说明了在流行病期间意见灵活性对疫苗接种选择的作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Modelling the impact of opinion flexibility on the vaccination choices during epidemics

Modelling the impact of opinion flexibility on the vaccination choices during epidemics

Spontaneous behavioural responses of individuals to epidemics are a relevant factor in the understanding of infection dynamics. In this work, we consider a vaccine–preventable infectious disease spreading within a population, where vaccination is on a voluntary basis and individuals can conform to either the pro–vaccine or the anti–vaccine group. A switch of vaccinating attitude may occur following an imitation game dynamics. In particular, we incorporate the role of individuals’ opinion flexibility, that is a measure of the personal propensity to change opinion, in the switch of vaccinating attitude. We consider a disease dynamics of Susceptible–Infected–Removed type. Then, we use the tools of kinetic theory to describe the overall system at microscopic, mesoscopic and macroscopic scale. Finally, the role of flexibility of opinion on the vaccination choice during an epidemic is shown by providing some numerical simulations.

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来源期刊
Ricerche di Matematica
Ricerche di Matematica Mathematics-Applied Mathematics
CiteScore
3.00
自引率
8.30%
发文量
61
期刊介绍: “Ricerche di Matematica” publishes high-quality research articles in any field of pure and applied mathematics. Articles must be original and written in English. Details about article submission can be found online.
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