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引用次数: 0
摘要
我们从两个方面研究了总统移民政策演讲的基调与政治背景、政策特点和总统个人的关系。首先,我们使用 DICTION 软件及其五个全球语调类别来描述总统移民言论的语调。其次,我们假设,共同性和乐观主义这两类表达移民政策的基调将因政治背景、移民政策特点和总统的修辞方法而共同变化。为了验证我们的预期,我们从《总统公开文件》(Public Papers of the Presidents)中收集了自 1953 年以来总统提及移民的内容。总统的蜜月期和后 9/11 时代等关键变量增加了总统的共同性基调,而总统的支持率则鼓励了更大的乐观主义。总统个人也会影响总统的言论,这表明总统风格对移民语调的重要性,尤其是对乐观主义而言。最后,我们总结了我们的工作对系统研究总统基调和全面移民改革前景的意义。
We examine the tone of the president's immigration policy speeches as a function of the political context, policy characteristics, and individual presidents in two ways. First, we describe the tone of the president's immigration rhetoric using DICTION software and its five global categories of tone. Second, we hypothesize that commonality and optimism, two categories of tone expressive of immigration policy, will co‐vary by political context, policy characteristics of immigration, and a president's approach to rhetoric. To test our expectations, we collected presidential mentions of immigration since 1953 from the Public Papers of the Presidents. Key variables, like the president's honeymoon and the post‐9/11 era, increase a president's commonality tone, and the president's approval ratings encourage greater optimism. Individual presidents also shape presidential rhetoric, indicating the importance of presidential style to immigration tone, especially for optimism. We conclude with implications of our work for the systematic study of presidential tone and the prospects for comprehensive immigration reform.