Zhixin Feng, Bin Wang, Yuting Dai, Wei Zhu, Rui Dong
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Fertility Intention for Two or More Children among Childbearing-Age Adults under China’s Changing Fertility Policies and Economic Development from 2010 to 2021
China has been experiencing below-replacement fertility rates for decades prompting concerns about the rapid aging of the population and a dwindling labour supply. This paper examines the effects of micro-level and macro-level factors on fertility intentions in China from 2010 to 2021. The analyses utilize repeated cross-sectional data from the nationally representative Chinese General Social Survey, focusing on adults of childbearing age. A multilevel logistic regression approach is employed. The findings indicate that economic status, at both the individual and provincial levels, significantly shapes individuals’ intentions regarding having two or more children. Those with higher individual economic status are more inclined to have multiple children, while individuals residing in provinces with higher mean incomes are less likely to have two or more children compared to those in provinces with lower mean incomes. Notably, the long-term impact of the one-child policy on intentions to have two or more children is particularly pronounced for urban residents and individuals from provinces that rigorously implemented the one-child policy. Additionally, the study identifies spatial differentiation in fertility intentions.
期刊介绍：
Description
The journal has an applied focus: it actively promotes the importance of geographical research in real world settings
It is policy-relevant: it seeks both a readership and contributions from practitioners as well as academics
The substantive foundation is spatial analysis: the use of quantitative techniques to identify patterns and processes within geographic environments
The combination of these points, which are fully reflected in the naming of the journal, establishes a unique position in the marketplace.
RationaleA geographical perspective has always been crucial to the understanding of the social and physical organisation of the world around us. The techniques of spatial analysis provide a powerful means for the assembly and interpretation of evidence, and thus to address critical questions about issues such as crime and deprivation, immigration and demographic restructuring, retailing activity and employment change, resource management and environmental improvement. Many of these issues are equally important to academic research as they are to policy makers and Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy aims to close the gap between these two perspectives by providing a forum for discussion of applied research in a range of different contexts
Topical and interdisciplinaryIncreasingly government organisations, administrative agencies and private businesses are requiring research to support their ‘evidence-based’ strategies or policies. Geographical location is critical in much of this work which extends across a wide range of disciplines including demography, actuarial sciences, statistics, public sector planning, business planning, economics, epidemiology, sociology, social policy, health research, environmental management.
FocusApplied Spatial Analysis and Policy will draw on applied research from diverse problem domains, such as transport, policing, education, health, environment and leisure, in different international contexts. The journal will therefore provide insights into the variations in phenomena that exist across space, it will provide evidence for comparative policy analysis between domains and between locations, and stimulate ideas about the translation of spatial analysis methods and techniques across varied policy contexts. It is essential to know how to measure, monitor and understand spatial distributions, many of which have implications for those with responsibility to plan and enhance the society and the environment in which we all exist.
Readership and Editorial BoardAs a journal focused on applications of methods of spatial analysis, Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy will be of interest to scholars and students in a wide range of academic fields, to practitioners in government and administrative agencies and to consultants in private sector organisations. The Editorial Board reflects the international and multidisciplinary nature of the journal.
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