人口中舆论两极分化的动态变化

IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS
Ricardo Cano Macias , Jorge Mauricio Ruiz Vera
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文探讨了在一个以言论自由不对称为特征的社会中,围绕某种思想的人口两极分化问题,并提出了一个简单的模型来描述其动态变化。该模型考虑的是一个由温和的同情者和坚定的捍卫者组成的思想追随者,以及一群试图传播其立场但也易受舆论变化影响的反对者。我们对所提出的微分方程系统的稳定性进行了分析,以研究防止思想同质化的政策。结果揭示了代表意见共存和两极分化消亡的条件稳定均衡点。提出了两个阈值来确定两极分化随时间的持续性。此外,通过对哥伦比亚社会中两个两极分化的真实案例进行分析,对模型的结果进行了验证,证明了该模型能够再现意见分歧的一般行为,并可用于控制两极分化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Dynamics of opinion polarization in a population

This article addresses the polarization of the population around an idea and proposes a simple model that describes its dynamics in a society characterized by asymmetries in freedom of expression. The model considers a population divided into followers of an idea, consisting of moderate sympathizers and staunch defenders, and a group of opponents who try to spread their position but are also susceptible to opinion change. An analysis of stability of the proposed system of differential equations is conducted to examine policies that prevent homogenization around the idea. The results reveal conditionally stable equilibrium points that represent the coexistence of opinions and the extinction of polarization. Two threshold values are proposed to determine the persistence of polarization over time. Furthermore, the results of the model are validated through the analysis of two real cases of polarization in Colombian society, demonstrating its ability to reproduce the general behavior of opinion divergence and its utility in polarization control.

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来源期刊
Mathematical Social Sciences
Mathematical Social Sciences 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
55
审稿时长
59 days
期刊介绍: The international, interdisciplinary journal Mathematical Social Sciences publishes original research articles, survey papers, short notes and book reviews. The journal emphasizes the unity of mathematical modelling in economics, psychology, political sciences, sociology and other social sciences. Topics of particular interest include the fundamental aspects of choice, information, and preferences (decision science) and of interaction (game theory and economic theory), the measurement of utility, welfare and inequality, the formal theories of justice and implementation, voting rules, cooperative games, fair division, cost allocation, bargaining, matching, social networks, and evolutionary and other dynamics models. Papers published by the journal are mathematically rigorous but no bounds, from above or from below, limits their technical level. All mathematical techniques may be used. The articles should be self-contained and readable by social scientists trained in mathematics.
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