Coady Wing, Madeline Yozwiak, Alex Hollingsworth, Seth Freedman, Kosali Simon
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引用次数: 0
摘要
在公共卫生研究人员的工具包中,差分估计法(DID)是确定因果效应的重要方法。越来越多的方法文献指出,当治疗方法在采用过程中交错进行并随时间变化时,DID 估计器存在潜在问题。尽管如此,在公共卫生研究中还没有解决这些新问题的实用指南。我们通过分步示例、代码和核对表来说明这些新的 DID 概念。我们将简单的 2 × 2 DID 设计(单一治疗组、单一对照组、两个时间段)与更复杂的情况(额外的治疗组、额外的治疗时间段以及可能随时间变化的治疗效果)进行比较,从而得出深刻的见解。我们概述了新发现的对 DID 估计值的因果解释的威胁,以及文献提出的解决方案,并通过分解说明了更复杂的 DID 如何是更简单的 2 × 2 DID 子实验的平均值。预计《公共卫生年度评论》第 45 卷的最终在线出版日期为 2024 年 4 月。修订后的估计值请参见 http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
Designing Difference-in-Difference Studies with Staggered Treatment Adoption: Key Concepts and Practical Guidelines.
Difference-in-difference (DID) estimators are a valuable method for identifying causal effects in the public health researcher's toolkit. A growing methods literature points out potential problems with DID estimators when treatment is staggered in adoption and varies with time. Despite this, no practical guide exists for addressing these new critiques in public health research. We illustrate these new DID concepts with step-by-step examples, code, and a checklist. We draw insights by comparing the simple 2 × 2 DID design (single treatment group, single control group, two time periods) with more complex cases: additional treated groups, additional time periods of treatment, and treatment effects possibly varying over time. We outline newly uncovered threats to causal interpretation of DID estimates and the solutions the literature has proposed, relying on a decomposition that shows how the more complex DIDs are an average of simpler 2 × 2 DID subexperiments.
期刊介绍:
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