基于卷积神经网络的多尺度自适应框架:应用于流体催化裂化产品产量预测

IF 6 1区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于化学过程是高度非线性和多尺度的,因此深入挖掘海量过程数据中蕴含的多尺度耦合关系对于预测和追踪关键过程参数和生产指标的异常情况至关重要。虽然自适应信号分解与时间序列模型相结合的综合方法可以有效预测过程变量,但在应用于复杂化学过程时,该方法在捕捉运行状态的高频细节方面存在局限性。有鉴于此,我们提出了一种新颖的多尺度多半径多阶卷积神经网络(MsrtNet),用于挖掘时空多尺度信息。首先,利用具有自适应噪声的完全集合经验模式分解(CEEMDAN)对流体催化裂化(FCC)过程的工业数据进行分解,提取特征子集的多能级信息。然后,建立具有不同步长和填充结构的卷积核,以解耦封装在多能级数据中的长周期运行过程信息。最后,对调和网络进行训练,以重建多尺度预测结果并获得最终输出。MsrtNet 最初被评估为能够解开田纳西伊士曼过程(TEP)中各变量之间的时空多尺度关系。随后,以柴油和汽油产量为例,评估了 MsrtNet 在预测 2.80 × 106 t/a 催化裂化装置产品产量方面的性能。总之,与其他时间序列模型相比,MsrtNet 可以从化工过程数据中解耦并有效提取时空多尺度信息,最大可减少 11% 的预测误差。此外,它的鲁棒性和可移植性也凸显了其在更广泛应用中的巨大潜力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A multiscale adaptive framework based on convolutional neural network: Application to fluid catalytic cracking product yield prediction

Since chemical processes are highly non-linear and multiscale, it is vital to deeply mine the multiscale coupling relationships embedded in the massive process data for the prediction and anomaly tracing of crucial process parameters and production indicators. While the integrated method of adaptive signal decomposition combined with time series models could effectively predict process variables, it does have limitations in capturing the high-frequency detail of the operation state when applied to complex chemical processes. In light of this, a novel Multiscale Multi-radius Multi-step Convolutional Neural Network (MsrtNet) is proposed for mining spatiotemporal multiscale information. First, the industrial data from the Fluid Catalytic Cracking (FCC) process decomposition using Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN) extract the multi-energy scale information of the feature subset. Then, convolution kernels with varying stride and padding structures are established to decouple the long-period operation process information encapsulated within the multi-energy scale data. Finally, a reconciliation network is trained to reconstruct the multiscale prediction results and obtain the final output. MsrtNet is initially assessed for its capability to untangle the spatiotemporal multiscale relationships among variables in the Tennessee Eastman Process (TEP). Subsequently, the performance of MsrtNet is evaluated in predicting product yield for a 2.80 × 106 t/a FCC unit, taking diesel and gasoline yield as examples. In conclusion, MsrtNet can decouple and effectively extract spatiotemporal multiscale information from chemical process data and achieve a approximately reduction of 30% in prediction error compared to other time-series models. Furthermore, its robustness and transferability underscore its promising potential for broader applications.

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来源期刊
Petroleum Science
Petroleum Science 地学-地球化学与地球物理
CiteScore
7.70
自引率
16.10%
发文量
311
审稿时长
63 days
期刊介绍: Petroleum Science is the only English journal in China on petroleum science and technology that is intended for professionals engaged in petroleum science research and technical applications all over the world, as well as the managerial personnel of oil companies. It covers petroleum geology, petroleum geophysics, petroleum engineering, petrochemistry & chemical engineering, petroleum mechanics, and economic management. It aims to introduce the latest results in oil industry research in China, promote cooperation in petroleum science research between China and the rest of the world, and build a bridge for scientific communication between China and the world.
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