{"title":"为什么未来的特遣队不全是假的*","authors":"John MacFarlane","doi":"10.1111/phib.12334","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Patrick Todd argues for a modified Peircean view on which all future contingents are false. According to Todd, this is the only view that makes sense if we fully embrace an open future, rejecting the idea of actual future history. I argue that supervaluational accounts, on which future contingents are neither true nor false, are fully consistent with the metaphysics of an open future. I suggest that it is Todd's failure to distinguish semantic and postsemantic levels that leads him to suppose otherwise. I also show how one can resist Todd's argument (with Brian Rabern) that the conceptual possibility of omniscience requires us to reject Retro-closure (<math altimg=\"urn:x-wiley:21539596:media:phib12334:phib12334-math-0101\" display=\"inline\" location=\"graphic/phib12334-math-0101.png\" overflow=\"scroll\">\n<semantics>\n<mrow>\n<mi>ϕ</mi>\n<mo>→</mo>\n<msub>\n<mtext>Was</mtext>\n<mi>n</mi>\n</msub>\n<msub>\n<mtext>Will</mtext>\n<mi>n</mi>\n</msub>\n<mi>ϕ</mi>\n</mrow>\n$$ \\phi \\to {\\mathrm{Was}}_n{\\mathrm{Will}}_n\\phi $$</annotation>\n</semantics></math>).","PeriodicalId":45646,"journal":{"name":"Analytic Philosophy","volume":"23 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.6000,"publicationDate":"2024-01-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Why future contingents are not all false*\",\"authors\":\"John MacFarlane\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/phib.12334\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Patrick Todd argues for a modified Peircean view on which all future contingents are false. According to Todd, this is the only view that makes sense if we fully embrace an open future, rejecting the idea of actual future history. I argue that supervaluational accounts, on which future contingents are neither true nor false, are fully consistent with the metaphysics of an open future. I suggest that it is Todd's failure to distinguish semantic and postsemantic levels that leads him to suppose otherwise. I also show how one can resist Todd's argument (with Brian Rabern) that the conceptual possibility of omniscience requires us to reject Retro-closure (<math altimg=\\\"urn:x-wiley:21539596:media:phib12334:phib12334-math-0101\\\" display=\\\"inline\\\" location=\\\"graphic/phib12334-math-0101.png\\\" overflow=\\\"scroll\\\">\\n<semantics>\\n<mrow>\\n<mi>ϕ</mi>\\n<mo>→</mo>\\n<msub>\\n<mtext>Was</mtext>\\n<mi>n</mi>\\n</msub>\\n<msub>\\n<mtext>Will</mtext>\\n<mi>n</mi>\\n</msub>\\n<mi>ϕ</mi>\\n</mrow>\\n$$ \\\\phi \\\\to {\\\\mathrm{Was}}_n{\\\\mathrm{Will}}_n\\\\phi $$</annotation>\\n</semantics></math>).\",\"PeriodicalId\":45646,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Analytic Philosophy\",\"volume\":\"23 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-01-17\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Analytic Philosophy\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1111/phib.12334\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"哲学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"0\",\"JCRName\":\"PHILOSOPHY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Analytic Philosophy","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1111/phib.12334","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"哲学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"0","JCRName":"PHILOSOPHY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Patrick Todd argues for a modified Peircean view on which all future contingents are false. According to Todd, this is the only view that makes sense if we fully embrace an open future, rejecting the idea of actual future history. I argue that supervaluational accounts, on which future contingents are neither true nor false, are fully consistent with the metaphysics of an open future. I suggest that it is Todd's failure to distinguish semantic and postsemantic levels that leads him to suppose otherwise. I also show how one can resist Todd's argument (with Brian Rabern) that the conceptual possibility of omniscience requires us to reject Retro-closure ().