支持非洲联盟：宏观经济波动重要吗？

IF 2.8 2区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Economic Systems Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI:10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101186

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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本文中，我们通过探讨支持非洲一体化的个人意见是否对宏观经济波动敏感这一问题，为有关非洲联盟合法性的辩论做出了经验性贡献。为此，我们使用了第 4、5、6 和 8 次非洲晴雨表调查数据浪潮以及背景逻辑模型。我们发现，人均国内生产总值的增长与支持非洲联盟概率的下降相关。因此，经济增长阻碍了公民对非洲联盟的积极评价。我们的研究结果还显示，支持非洲联盟的公众舆论与经济增长之间的关系并不对称。本文讨论了政策影响。

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Supporting African union: Do macroeconomic fluctuations matter?

In this paper, we contribute empirically to the debate on the legitimacy of the African Union by exploring the question on whether individual opinions in support of African integration are sensitive to macroeconomic fluctuations? For this purpose, we use the 4th, 5th, 6th and 8th Afrobarometer survey data waves and a contextual logistic model. We find that an increase in GDP per capita is associated with a decline in the probability to support the African Union. Accordingly, economic growth discourages citizens’ positive appraisal for the union. Our results also show an asymmetry in the relationship between public opinion on supporting the African Union and economic growth. Policy implications are discussed.

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来源期刊

Economic Systems ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

4.90

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

48 days

期刊介绍： Economic Systems is a refereed journal for the analysis of causes and consequences of the significant institutional variety prevailing among developed, developing, and emerging economies, as well as attempts at and proposals for their reform. The journal is open to micro and macro contributions, theoretical as well as empirical, the latter to analyze related topics against the background of country or region-specific experiences. In this respect, Economic Systems retains its long standing interest in the emerging economies of Central and Eastern Europe and other former transition economies, but also encourages contributions that cover any part of the world, including Asia, Latin America, the Middle East, or Africa.