在极端情况下,黄金是美元的避风港吗?

Asil Azimli
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究探讨了黄金是否可以作为美元兑多种货币汇率风险的对冲/避险资产。研究结果表明,黄金具有重要的汇率对冲作用。此外,在 COVID-19 大流行和俄罗斯-乌克兰战争期间,黄金在所研究的某些汇率对中发挥了避险资产的作用。对黄金-货币投资组合的分析表明,在 COVID 期间,加入优化数量的黄金可降低投资组合的方差,但在战争期间,结果却不尽相同。这些结果在考虑到不同的黄金持有期以及黄金与汇率回报之间关系的不对称性的额外测试中都是稳健的。本研究的结果为关注美元汇率风险的国际投资者和政策制定者提供了重要启示。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Is gold a safe haven for the U.S. dollar during extreme conditions?

This paper examines whether gold can act as a hedge/safe-haven asset for the U.S. dollar exchange rate risk against a broad range of currencies. Findings imply the important exchange rate hedging role of gold. Moreover, gold acts as a safe-haven asset during the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war for some exchange rate pairs examined. Analysis of gold-currency portfolios reveals that including an optimized amount of gold reduces portfolio variance during the COVID period but produces mixed findings during the war. These findings are robust against additional tests accounting for different holding periods for gold and asymmetries in the relationship between gold and exchange rate returns. Our results offer important implications for international investors and policymakers concerned with the U.S. dollar's exchange rate risk.

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来源期刊
International Economics
International Economics Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)
CiteScore
6.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
74
审稿时长
71 days
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