{"title":"经济政策的不确定性、气候政策的不确定性和金融全球化的不确定性是否与石油市场恐慌共同作用?频域分析","authors":"I. Farouq, Z. Sulong","doi":"10.1142/s1793993324500030","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Using a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag and frequency domain analysis, this paper examines the impact of various uncertainty indicators on oil market fear (OMF) in Nigeria, from 1997M1–2020M3. The results show that economic policy uncertainty (EPU), climate policy uncertainty (CPU), and financial globalization uncertainty (FGU) have perverse effects on the OMF. We observed that a bi-directional causal relationship between EPU and the OMF exists temporarily. A unidirectional causal effect exists from CPU to OMF. We further show a bi-directional causal relationship between OMF and FGU. Policy recommendations are discussed accordingly.","PeriodicalId":513187,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy","volume":"58 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Do Economic Policy Uncertainty, Climate Policy Uncertainty, and Financial Globalization Uncertainty Co-Move with Oil Market Fear? A Frequency Domain Analysis\",\"authors\":\"I. Farouq, Z. Sulong\",\"doi\":\"10.1142/s1793993324500030\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Using a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag and frequency domain analysis, this paper examines the impact of various uncertainty indicators on oil market fear (OMF) in Nigeria, from 1997M1–2020M3. The results show that economic policy uncertainty (EPU), climate policy uncertainty (CPU), and financial globalization uncertainty (FGU) have perverse effects on the OMF. We observed that a bi-directional causal relationship between EPU and the OMF exists temporarily. A unidirectional causal effect exists from CPU to OMF. We further show a bi-directional causal relationship between OMF and FGU. Policy recommendations are discussed accordingly.\",\"PeriodicalId\":513187,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy\",\"volume\":\"58 6\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-01-06\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1142/s1793993324500030\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s1793993324500030","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Do Economic Policy Uncertainty, Climate Policy Uncertainty, and Financial Globalization Uncertainty Co-Move with Oil Market Fear? A Frequency Domain Analysis
Using a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag and frequency domain analysis, this paper examines the impact of various uncertainty indicators on oil market fear (OMF) in Nigeria, from 1997M1–2020M3. The results show that economic policy uncertainty (EPU), climate policy uncertainty (CPU), and financial globalization uncertainty (FGU) have perverse effects on the OMF. We observed that a bi-directional causal relationship between EPU and the OMF exists temporarily. A unidirectional causal effect exists from CPU to OMF. We further show a bi-directional causal relationship between OMF and FGU. Policy recommendations are discussed accordingly.