{"title":"欧洲货币联盟的成员资格对经济和金融结果有影响吗?","authors":"Omid M. Ardakani, N. Kundan Kishor, Suyong Song","doi":"10.1111/coep.12638","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study examines the effects of joining the European Monetary Union (EMU) using propensity score matching to address self-selection bias. Findings indicate that EMU membership leads to reduced volatility in inflation, output growth, and bond yields. However, it also reveals fiscal deterioration in member states during the pre-financial crisis period, even excluding Greece, Ireland, Portugal, and Spain. These countries experienced favorable bond market conditions pre-crisis. The study underscores varying EMU effectiveness across different periods and countries, emphasizing the importance for policymakers to consider these variations when adopting EMU strategies.</p>","PeriodicalId":47364,"journal":{"name":"Contemporary Economic Policy","volume":"42 3","pages":"416-447"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7000,"publicationDate":"2024-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Does membership of the EMU matter for economic and financial outcomes?\",\"authors\":\"Omid M. Ardakani, N. Kundan Kishor, Suyong Song\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/coep.12638\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>This study examines the effects of joining the European Monetary Union (EMU) using propensity score matching to address self-selection bias. Findings indicate that EMU membership leads to reduced volatility in inflation, output growth, and bond yields. However, it also reveals fiscal deterioration in member states during the pre-financial crisis period, even excluding Greece, Ireland, Portugal, and Spain. These countries experienced favorable bond market conditions pre-crisis. The study underscores varying EMU effectiveness across different periods and countries, emphasizing the importance for policymakers to consider these variations when adopting EMU strategies.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":47364,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Contemporary Economic Policy\",\"volume\":\"42 3\",\"pages\":\"416-447\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-01-08\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Contemporary Economic Policy\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/coep.12638\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Contemporary Economic Policy","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/coep.12638","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Does membership of the EMU matter for economic and financial outcomes?
This study examines the effects of joining the European Monetary Union (EMU) using propensity score matching to address self-selection bias. Findings indicate that EMU membership leads to reduced volatility in inflation, output growth, and bond yields. However, it also reveals fiscal deterioration in member states during the pre-financial crisis period, even excluding Greece, Ireland, Portugal, and Spain. These countries experienced favorable bond market conditions pre-crisis. The study underscores varying EMU effectiveness across different periods and countries, emphasizing the importance for policymakers to consider these variations when adopting EMU strategies.
期刊介绍:
Contemporary Economic Policy publishes scholarly economic research and analysis on issues of vital concern to business, government, and other decision makers. Leading western scholars, including three Nobel laureates, are among CEP"s authors. The objectives are to communicate results of high quality economic analysis to policymakers, focus high quality research and analysis on current policy issues of widespread concern, increase knowledge among economists of features of the economy key to understanding the impact of policy, and to advance methods of policy analysis.