欧洲货币联盟的成员资格对经济和金融结果有影响吗?

IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Omid M. Ardakani, N. Kundan Kishor, Suyong Song
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究利用倾向得分匹配法解决自选偏差问题,研究了加入欧洲货币联盟(EMU)的影响。研究结果表明,加入欧洲货币联盟会降低通货膨胀、产出增长和债券收益率的波动性。然而,即使不包括希腊、爱尔兰、葡萄牙和西班牙,研究也揭示了金融危机前成员国财政状况的恶化。这些国家在危机前经历了有利的债券市场条件。该研究强调了欧洲货币联盟在不同时期和不同国家的不同有效性,强调了决策者在采取欧洲货币联盟战略时考虑这些差异的重要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Does membership of the EMU matter for economic and financial outcomes?

This study examines the effects of joining the European Monetary Union (EMU) using propensity score matching to address self-selection bias. Findings indicate that EMU membership leads to reduced volatility in inflation, output growth, and bond yields. However, it also reveals fiscal deterioration in member states during the pre-financial crisis period, even excluding Greece, Ireland, Portugal, and Spain. These countries experienced favorable bond market conditions pre-crisis. The study underscores varying EMU effectiveness across different periods and countries, emphasizing the importance for policymakers to consider these variations when adopting EMU strategies.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
6.70%
发文量
38
期刊介绍: Contemporary Economic Policy publishes scholarly economic research and analysis on issues of vital concern to business, government, and other decision makers. Leading western scholars, including three Nobel laureates, are among CEP"s authors. The objectives are to communicate results of high quality economic analysis to policymakers, focus high quality research and analysis on current policy issues of widespread concern, increase knowledge among economists of features of the economy key to understanding the impact of policy, and to advance methods of policy analysis.
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