全球变暖条件下拉尼娜现象对长江流域 2022 年夏季极端高温的影响

IF 6.4 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Zhen Liao, Yu-Feng Yuan, Yang Chen, Pan-Mao Zhai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2022 年夏季,长江流域出现了大范围、长时间的高温极端天气,300 个站点创下了新的气温记录,近 96% 的站点高温日数超过 40 天。从全球变暖和拉尼娜现象共同作用的角度,研究了高温极端天气的潜在机制。破纪录的极端高温是由一个极强的西移西太平洋副热带高压(WPSH)引起的。全球变暖效应是造成长江流域异常高温日的主要原因,再加上拉尼娜现象的影响。拉尼娜条件下的海表温度异常模式有利于西太平洋对流活动的增加,促进了 WPSH 的增强和向西延伸。此外,基于观测的归因分析表明,人为变暖可能会使这种大范围持续高温极端天气的概率增加 1.8 倍。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Extraordinary hot extreme in summer 2022 over the Yangtze River basin modulated by the La Niña condition under global warming

A widespread and prolonged hot extreme hit the Yangtze River basin in summer 2022, with 300 sites established new temperature records and nearly 96% stations endured more than 40 hot days. From the perspective of the combination effect of the global warming and La Niña condition, potential mechanisms of the hot extreme were investigated. Such a record-breaking hot extreme was caused by an extremely strong and westward-shifted western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH). The global warming effect contributed primarily to the abnormal hot days in the Yangtze River basin, coupled with the modulation of the La Niña condition. The sea surface temperature anomaly pattern under La Niña condition favored more convection activities over the western Pacific, encouraging an enhanced and westward-extended WPSH. In addition, an observation-based attribution analysis indicates that anthropogenic warming may increase the probability of such extensively persistent hot extreme by 1.8 times.

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来源期刊
Advances in Climate Change Research
Advances in Climate Change Research Earth and Planetary Sciences-Atmospheric Science
CiteScore
9.80
自引率
4.10%
发文量
424
审稿时长
107 days
期刊介绍: Advances in Climate Change Research publishes scientific research and analyses on climate change and the interactions of climate change with society. This journal encompasses basic science and economic, social, and policy research, including studies on mitigation and adaptation to climate change. Advances in Climate Change Research attempts to promote research in climate change and provide an impetus for the application of research achievements in numerous aspects, such as socioeconomic sustainable development, responses to the adaptation and mitigation of climate change, diplomatic negotiations of climate and environment policies, and the protection and exploitation of natural resources.
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