伊代飓风对莫桑比克贝拉水域影响的分布情况

IF 1.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES
Cameron McCordic, Ines Raimundo, Matthew Judyn, Duncan Willis
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的在未来气候变化的压力下,预计气旋形式的气候灾害将变得更加严重。这些变化对莫桑比克贝拉等低洼沿海城市的危害日益严重。2019 年,贝拉遭受了 "伊代 "气旋的破坏性影响。这次旋风造成的众多影响之一是饮用水供应中断。本调查从环境正义的视角探讨了 "伊代 "气旋对饮用水获取的影响分布情况,探讨了贝利亚的家庭在获取水源方面的既有特征可能如何使其容易受到 "伊代 "气旋的影响。设计/方法/途径本调查以在贝拉收集的家庭调查数据为基础,采用决策树算法,利用这些既有的脆弱性,调查饮用水中断在家庭调查样本中的分布情况。调查结果调查发现,在 "伊代 "气旋发生前一年主要依赖自来水水源且用水不稳定的家庭,更有可能在 "伊代 "气旋发生后立即出现饮用水供应中断的情况。研究结果表明,贝拉正规地区的居民主要依赖自来水供应,在 "伊代 "气旋过后,他们的饮用水供应中断率更高。 原创性/价值 这些研究结果对一个普遍的假设提出了质疑,即非正规地区比城市的正规地区更容易受到气旋等气候灾害的影响。研究结果支持将非正规住区纳入气候变化适应战略的设计中。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The distribution of Cyclone Idai’s water impacts in Beira, Mozambique

Purpose

Climate hazards in the form of cyclones are projected to become more intense under the pressures of future climate change. These changes represent a growing hazard to low lying coastal cities like Beira, Mozambique. In 2019, Beira experienced the devastating impact of Cyclone Idai. One of the many impacts resulting from this Cyclone was disrupted drinking water access. This investigation explores the distribution of Cyclone Idai’s impact on drinking water access via an environmental justice lens, exploring how preexisting water access characteristics may have predisposed households to the impacts of Cyclone Idai in Beria.

Design/methodology/approach

Relying on household survey data collected in Beira, the investigation applied a decision tree algorithm to investigate how drinking water disruption was distributed across the household survey sample using these preexisting vulnerabilities.

Findings

The investigation found that households that mainly relied upon piped water sources and experienced inconsistent access to water in the year prior to Cyclone Idai were more likely to experience disrupted drinking water access immediately after Cyclone Idai. The results indicate that residents in formal areas of Beira, largely reliant upon piped water supply, experienced higher rates of disrupted drinking water access following Cyclone Idai.

Originality/value

These findings question a commonly held assumption that informal areas are more vulnerable to climate hazards, like cyclones, than formal areas of a city. The findings support the inclusion of informal settlements in the design of climate change adaptation strategies.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
10.50%
发文量
40
期刊介绍: Disaster Prevention and Management, An International Journal, sets out to advance the available knowledge in the fields of disaster prevention and management and to act as an integrative agent for extant methodologies and activities relating to disaster emergency and crisis management. Publishing high quality, refereed papers, the journal supports the exchange of ideas, experience and practice between academics, practitioners and policy-makers.
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