ANALYSIS OF DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS OF MONOCITIES IN EAST KAZAKHSTAN REGION

The development of single-industry towns has been one of the main problems of Kazakhstan for many years. The depressive state of single-industry towns has worsened. This article is devoted to the development of the demographic potential of single-industry towns in the East Kazakhstan region of the Republic of Kazakhstan. The study used methods of comparison, matching, extrapolation, modeling, and benchmarking. Particular attention is paid to the analysis of the demographic indicators of single-industry towns in the East Kazakhstan region of Kazakhstan for 10 years. Based on the analysis carried out, a demographic forecast for the development of single-industry towns until 2030 was calculated. The factors influencing the development of the demographic potential of single-industry towns are determined. The authors attempted to calculate the index of demographic development of single-industry towns for 10 years, which shows the assessment of the settlements under consideration in terms of size and growth rate of demographic indicators and considers the balance of migration. An algorithm of actions for the development of single-industry towns is proposed.