2023 年 9 月 8 日摩洛哥 Al Haouz 6.8 级致命地震附近的断层滑动潜力

Will Levandowski
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摘要

2023 年 9 月 8 日在摩洛哥高阿特拉斯山脉(WHA)西部发生的 6.8 级 Al Haouz 地震造成数千人死亡。为了确定最有可能引发余震和未来大地震的断层和断层走向,我们通过焦点机制反演估算了区域地壳应力,并对已知和疑似活动断层的相关滑动潜力进行了建模。南北向缩短是通过反向、斜向和走向滑动运动的混合来实现的。因此,许多断层走向都很适合滑移:陡峭的北北东向、西南南向、东南向或西北向走向,平缓(15°~50°)的东向和西向走向,以及介于两者之间的所有走向。几乎所有绘制的区域性断层都具有较高的滑动潜力。相比之下,陡峭的东西向断层和几乎所有的南北向断层相对稳定,不过,由于部分熔融等原因,WHA异常高温的下地壳摩擦力较低,也可能导致这些次优断层发生滑动。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Fault-Slip Potential near the Deadly 8 September 2023 Mw 6.8 Al Haouz, Morocco, Earthquake
Thousands were killed by the 8 September 2023 Mw 6.8 Al Haouz, Morocco, earthquake in the western High Atlas (WHA) Mountains. To identify the faults and fault orientations most likely to host aftershocks and future large earthquakes, regional crustal stress is estimated from focal mechanism inversions, and the associated slip potential of known and suspected active faults is modeled. North–south shortening is accommodated by a mix of reverse, oblique-reverse, and strike-slip motion. As such, many fault orientations are well aligned for slip: steep north-northeast-, south-southwest-, southeast-, or northwest-striking planes, gently (∼15°–50°) dipping east- and west-striking planes, and all orientations between. Nearly all mapped regional faults have high slip potential. By contrast, steep east–west and nearly all north–south faults are relatively stable, although low friction in the anomalously hot lower crust of the WHA, such as due to partial melt, could allow slip on these suboptimal faults as well.
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