Quoc-Phi Duong , Anthony Wimmers , Derrick Herndon , Zhe-Min Tan , Jing-Yi Zhuo , John Knaff , Ibrahim Al Abdulsalam , Takeshi Horinouchi , Ryota Miyata , Arthur Avenas
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Objective satellite methods including AI algorithms reviewed for the tenth International workshop on tropical cyclones (IWTC-10)
Here we explore the latest four years (2019–2022) of using satellite data to objectively analyze tropical cyclones (TC) and issue recommendations for improved analysis. We first discuss new methods of direct retrieval from SAR and geostationary imagers. Next, we survey some of the most prominent new techniques in AI and discuss their major capabilities (especially accuracy in nonlinear TC behavior, characterization of model uncertainty and creation of synthetic satellite imagery) and limitations (especially lack of transparency and limited amount of training data). We also identify concerns with biases and unlabeled uncertainties in the Best Track records as being a first-order limitation for further progress in objective methods. The article concludes with recommendations to improve future objective methods, especially in the area of more accurate and reliable training data sets.
期刊介绍:
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review is an international journal focusing on tropical cyclone monitoring, forecasting, and research as well as associated hydrological effects and disaster risk reduction. This journal is edited and published by the ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee (TC) and the Shanghai Typhoon Institute of the China Meteorology Administration (STI/CMA). Contributions from all tropical cyclone basins are welcome.
Scope of the journal includes:
• Reviews of tropical cyclones exhibiting unusual characteristics or behavior or resulting in disastrous impacts on Typhoon Committee Members and other regional WMO bodies
• Advances in applied and basic tropical cyclone research or technology to improve tropical cyclone forecasts and warnings
• Basic theoretical studies of tropical cyclones
• Event reports, compelling images, and topic review reports of tropical cyclones
• Impacts, risk assessments, and risk management techniques related to tropical cyclones