在利比亚不确定的十年间,外部国家的隐秘利益普遍高于公开强调的国际冲突解决议程

Bálint Kása
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究以比较的视角审视了四个外部国家在利比亚过去十年间的行为倾向,与其官方所坚持的雄心壮志形成鲜明对比。在国际舞台上,关于解决冲突、缓解冲突以及声称与保护责任原则保持一致的良好承诺当然不是什么新鲜事,同时存在自私的议程也不是什么 "创新"。然而,利比亚的和解与稳定进程虽然得到了看似巨大的国际支持,但却以失败告终,这为我们提供了一个新的领域来调查外部各方潜在反对意见的方方面面。最初的冲突源于国内,但很快就发展成为日益国际化的冲突。在多次尝试建立真正统一的政府之后,各方利益始终无法充分接近。这篇文章所要阐述的是出于地缘战略动机的反对派威胁之间的基本平衡,这种平衡似乎只是围绕着哈夫塔尔、萨拉杰等当地关键人物,甚至是有影响力的部落领袖。许多外国利益相关者通过代理行动的方式,反对他们自己要求其伙伴遵守的宣言和声明,并希望利用现状所带来的优势。本报告讨论了这些国家采取的与解决利比亚冲突背道而驰的行动。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Prevalence of External States’ Covert Interests over Overtly Emphasised International Conflict Resolution Agendas Throughout a Decade of Libyan Uncertainty
This study offers a comparative perspective on four external states’ behavioural tendencies in contrast to their officially upheld ambitions witnessed throughout the past ten years in Libya. Sound promises on conflict resolution, mitigation and alleged alignment with R2P principles is of course nothing new in the international arena, nor is the fact that the parallel existence of selfish agendas constitute an “innovation”. Nevertheless, the case of failed reconciliation and stabilisation process of Libya despite seemingly massive international support offers a recent sphere for investigating the whole spectrum of underlying opposition among the external parties. What started out as a domestically rooted conflict, soon developed into an increasingly international one. After several attempts at the establishment of a truly unified government, interests have never got sufficiently close to each other. What this article sets out to expand on is a fundamentally balance of threats motivated geostrategic opposition, which was only seemingly centred around local key figures like Haftar, Sarraj or even influential tribal leaders. Numerous foreign stakeholders were acting against the very declarations and statements they themselves called their fellows to comply with via means of proxy actions and in hopes of capitalising on the advantages stemming from the status quo. This work discusses the means these states acted counter-productively against the Libyan conflict resolution.
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