现实主义者会预测吗?

IF 1.4 3区 心理学 Q4 PSYCHOLOGY, SOCIAL
Douglas Porpora
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引用次数: 0

摘要

正如彼得-奈斯(Petter Naess)所观察到的,批判现实主义内部一些特别著名的声音明确否认我们有能力预测社会领域的很多事情,而另一些声音则对认可任何这种能力表示非常谨慎。在印刷品中,奈斯是为可预测性辩护的最著名的 CR 声音,但我们批判现实主义者中也有与奈斯观点相同的人。本文旨在进一步捍卫批判现实主义者在预测事件方面没有特殊问题的观点。我们只是没有给予预测以实证主义者那样的地位。本文的论点与波波拉的论点相似,即批判现实主义者可以而且确实进行了回归,但并没有赋予它们与实证主义相同的解释地位。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Do Realists Predict?

As Petter Naess observes, some specifically prominent voices within CR have expressly denied our ability to predict much in the social domain while others express great caution about endorsing any such ability. In print, Naess has been the most prominent CR voice defending predictability, but there are others of us critical realists who share Naess's view. The purpose of this paper is to further defend the view that critical realists have no special problem with predicting events. We just do not grant prediction the same status that positivists do. The argument here is parallel to Porpora's that critical realists can and do run regressions but without granting them the same explanatory status as positivism.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.30
自引率
14.30%
发文量
36
期刊介绍: The Journal for the Theory of Social Behaviour publishes original theoretical and methodological articles that examine the links between social structures and human agency embedded in behavioural practices. The Journal is truly unique in focusing first and foremost on social behaviour, over and above any disciplinary or local framing of such behaviour. In so doing, it embraces a range of theoretical orientations and, by requiring authors to write for a wide audience, the Journal is distinctively interdisciplinary and accessible to readers world-wide in the fields of psychology, sociology and philosophy.
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