经济制裁对俄罗斯北极地区石油和天然气项目融资的影响

Nikita A. Flegontov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

文章分析了 2022-2023 年经济制裁对俄罗斯北极地区石油和天然气项目融资的影响。该主题的相关性归因于开发北极地区石油和天然气潜力对能源行业的重要性,而能源行业是俄罗斯经济的关键产业。北极地区蕴藏着俄罗斯和全球碳氢化合物储量的重要部分。在传统生产盆地资源枯竭、能源消费向亚太国家转移的情况下,开发这些储量的经济和政治可行性日益提高。作者考虑了石油和天然气工业在全球和国家经济中的作用,确定了北极气候条件下石油和天然气项目的具体特点,分析了影响项目融资的主要经济制裁。此外,还评估了制裁对北极液化天然气 2 号项目和东方石油项目的影响。研究基于系统、统计和比较分析、经济分析、案例法和风险评估等方法。作者得出结论认为,制裁极大地限制了俄罗斯北极地区石油和天然气投资项目的融资机会。然而,制裁的影响在短期内可能相当温和,而缺乏资金可能会导致正在进行的项目在 5-10 年内的时间表和规模发生变化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of economic sanctions on financing for oil and gas projects in the Russian Arctic
The article analyzes the impact of the economic sanctions of 2022–2023 on the financing for oil and gas projects in the Russian Arctic. The relevance of the topic is attributed to the importance of developing the Arctic oil and gas potential for the energy sector, which is a pivotal industry for the Russian economy. The Arctic zone contains a significant part of Russian and global hydrocarbon reserves. The economic and political feasibility of their development is increasing amid the resource depletion in the traditional production basins and the shift of energy consumption сenters to the Asia-Pacific countries. The author considers the role of the oil and gas industry in the global and national economy, identifies the specific features of the oil and gas projects in the Arctic climatic conditions, analyzes the main economic sanctions affecting the financing for the projects. The assessment of their impact on the Arctic LNG 2 and Vostok Oil projects is also provided. The research is based on the methods of systemic, statistical and comparative analysis, economic analysis, case method and risk assessment. The author concludes that the imposed sanctions have significantly limited the opportunities for financing for the oil and gas investment projects in the Russian Arctic. However, the impact of sanctions may be quite moderate in the short run, while the lack of financing may lead to a change in the timelines and scale of ongoing projects on the horizon of 5–10 years.
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