公民展望 2040 年的生活:伦敦企业展望定性研究

Pauli Komonen, Susanne Jacobson
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引用次数: 0

摘要

城市生活正在发生变化。市民们在实践中探索新的生活方式,憧憬城市的未来。企业作为城市的重要利益相关者,正在建设城市基础设施并满足市民的需求。要想在未来取得成功,企业必须能够驾驭不断变化的城市的复杂性和多样性。然而,以前有关城市的企业展望研究却很少。这项参与式企业展望研究通过让一群伦敦市民参与进来,对 2040 年的城市生活进行了研究。该研究采用定性的多种方法,包括在线日记、未来想象研讨会和深度访谈,探讨了市民对未来的想象和生活方式的改变。在 COVID-19 大流行期间所经历的生活方式调整对个人和社区的新未来起到了催化剂的作用。广泛的愿景包括连续性和不连续性,带有适度乐观的基调,并以社区、基础设施、生态和技术等生活方面为特色。这些愿景强调生活多个领域的可持续性,并展示了过去、现在和未来的动态关系。本文在方法论上的贡献在于采用了多种方法,从而能够在网络和面对面的背景下灵活地收集文字和音像数据集。这种灵活性与企业展望尤其相关,因为企业必须在资源有限的情况下平衡效率、深度和适用性。文章还将主要用户方法的应用范围从单个产品和服务扩展到城市环境和整个城市生活方式。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Citizens envisioning life in 2040: A qualitative corporate foresight study in London

Urban living is changing. Citizens explore new lifestyles in practice and envision alternative urban futures. Companies, as significant stakeholders in cities, are building urban infrastructure and serving citizens' needs. To succeed in the future, companies must be able to navigate the complexity and diversity of evolving cities. However, former corporate foresight research on cities is sparse. This participatory corporate foresight study examines city life in 2040 by engaging a group of London citizens with a lead user profile. A qualitative multimethod approach, consisting of online diaries, a futures imagining workshop, and in-depth interviews, explores citizens' images of the future and lifestyle changes. The lifestyle adjustments experienced during the COVID-19 pandemic period have acted as a catalyst for novel personal and communal futures. The broad range of visions included both continuity and discontinuity, with a moderately optimistic undertone, and featured communal, infrastructural, ecological, and technological aspects of life. These visions emphasized sustainability in multiple areas of life and demonstrated the dynamic relationship of the past, present, and future. The methodological contribution of this paper lies in its multimethod approach, which enabled an agile collection of textual and audio-visual datasets in both online and face-to-face contexts. This agility is particularly relevant in a corporate foresight context, where companies must balance efficiency, depth, and applicability while operating under resource constraints. The article also extends the lead user approach's use from individual products and services to the city environment and urban lifestyle in general.

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