尼日利亚不安全局势对青年失业的影响分析(1990-2020 年)

Ibrahim Musa
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摘要

青年失业问题是尼日利亚一个非常重要的社会经济问题,近年来已经恶化。因此,本研究使用普通最小二乘法估算技术(OLS),研究了 1990 年至 2020 年不安全因素对尼日利亚青年失业率的影响。研究重点是因变量失业率(Unemp)与两个自变量国家恐怖主义指数(Ntix)和犯罪率(Crat)之间的关系。研究结果表明,Ntix 对 Unemp 有正向影响,且在统计上有显著意义。具体而言,Ntix 每增加一个单位,失业率就会上升 0.000827。此外,尼日利亚 Crat 对失业率也有显著的正向影响,Crat 的增加导致失业率上升 0.005653。鉴于不安全因素增加直接导致失业,研究提出了若干政策建议。首先,政府应考虑降低商业银行的利率,增加小企业主的贷款供应,使他们能够雇用更多员工。此外,解决公共和私营部门的腐败问题、打击绑架以及建立更多的技能学习中心,都是解决不安全问题和促进就业机会的关键措施。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of the impact of insecurity on youth unemployment in Nigeria (1990-2020)
Youth unemployment is a very important socioeconomic problem in Nigeria, which has gone bad in recent years. Therefore, using the ordinary least square estimation technique (OLS), this research examines the impact of insecurity on youth unemployment in Nigeria from 1990 to 2020. The study focuses on the relationship between the dependent variable, unemployment (Unemp), and two independent variables, the National Terrorism Index (Ntix) and Crime Rate (Crat). The results reveal that Ntix has a positive and statistically significant effect on Unemp. Specifically, a unit increase in Ntix leads to a 0.000827 rise in unemployment. Additionally, Nigerian Crat demonstrates a significant and positive influence on Unemp, with an increase in Crat resulting in a 0.005653 increase in unemployment. Given that heightened insecurity directly contributes to unemployment, the study proposes several policy recommendations. Firstly, the government should consider reducing interest rates in commercial banks to enhance the availability of loans for small business owners, enabling them to hire more employees. Furthermore, addressing corruption in both public and private sectors, combating kidnappings, and establishing additional skill acquisition centers are crucial measures to tackle the issue of insecurity and promote employment opportunities.
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