认知行为疗法可在十年内减少犯罪和暴力:实验证据

Christopher Blattman, Sebastian Chaskel, Julian C. Jamison, Margaret Sheridan
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摘要

一些小型、短期或非实验性研究表明,以认知行为为基础的干预能在一到两年内减少反社会行为,但持续性研究却很少见。我们对利比里亚的 999 名高风险男性进行了为期十年的跟踪调查,在此之前,他们被随机分配接受为期八周的低成本、非特殊引导的治疗;或 200 美元现金;或两者都接受;或两者都不接受。十年后,反社会行为(如抢劫和贩毒)的下降幅度为 0.2 个标准差,明显高于一年的影响。同时,接受治疗加现金的男性反社会行为减少了 0.25 个标准差--与一年的结果类似。在这两种情况下,影响都集中在基线风险最高的男性身上。(JEL D91, K42, O15, O17)
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Cognitive Behavioral Therapy Reduces Crime and Violence over Ten Years: Experimental Evidence
Several small, short-term, or nonexperimental studies show that cognitive behavioral–informed interventions reduce antisocial behaviors over one to two years, but persistence research is rare. We followed 999 high-risk men in Liberia ten years after randomization into eight weeks of low-cost, nonspecialist-led therapy; $200 cash; both; or neither. A decade later, antisocial behaviors (such as robbery and drug selling) fell 0.2 standard deviations from therapy alone—significantly greater than the one-year impacts. Meanwhile, men who received therapy plus cash were 0.25 standard deviations less antisocial—similar to one-year results. In both cases, impacts were concentrated in men exhibiting highest baseline risk. (JEL D91, K42, O15, O17)
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