数字化是社会经济发展和国家经济安全的一个因素

L. Chahovets, V. Chahovets
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摘要

现代乌克兰经济形势严峻。在国内敌对行动频繁的情况下,经济无法正常运转。因此,确定国家社会经济发展及其经济安全因素的问题现在凸显出来。其中,国家数字化发挥着重要作用。考虑到因战争而衰退的乌克兰经济复苏的相关性,采用现代方法对国家数字化状况进行全面分析被认为是适当的。本文主要探讨了国家数字化与社会经济发展指数相互依存的估算问题。文章旨在改进用于评估和分析国家数字化状况的数学模型的复杂性,并用国家数字化和社会经济发展相互依存指标模型对其进行补充。该模型的实施将有助于确定数字化发展方向、估算国家的社会经济发展水平以及确保国家的经济安全。在研究过程中,需要完成以下任务:选择并形成建模所需的指标基础;开发模型;通过典型分析方法研究社会经济和数字化发展指标之间的典型相关性;研究典型变量观测的分散性,并找出最重要的数字化改进领域。研究结果表明,网络就绪指数与社会经济进步指数之间的相关性最高(系数为 0.98)。社会经济进步指数还与电子政务发展指数(0.92)和信息与通信技术发展指数(0.90)相关。因此,通过本文对数字化和社会经济发展指数之间的相关性分析,我们可以得出结论:它们之间存在着高度的显著影响,必须形成一套措施体系,以确保国家在这些方面的数字化发展达到适当的水平。关键词:建模、方法、典型分析、数字化、社会经济发展、国家经济安全。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
DIGITALISATION AS A FACTOR OF SOCIOECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND ECONOMIC SECURITY OF THE STATE
The modern Ukrainian economy is in a dire situation. It cannot function normally when active hostilities are taking place in the country. Therefore, the problem of determining the factors of the socioeconomic development of the state and its economic security now comes to the fore. Among them, the digitalisation of the country plays an important role. Considering the relevance of the recovery of the Ukrainian economy, which suffered a decline due to the war, it is considered appropriate to carry out a comprehensive analysis of the digitisation state of the country by modern methods. The paper is devoted to the problem of interdependence estimation of the digitisation and socioeconomic development indices of the country. The article aims to improve the complex of mathematical models for assessment and analysis of the digitisation state of the country, which will be supplemented with a model of interdependence indicators of digitisation and socioeconomic development of the state. Implementing the model will allow for determining digitalisation development directions, estimating the socioeconomic development level of the state, as well as ensuring its economic security. In the process of research, the following tasks were set to be solved: to select and form a base of indicators necessary for modelling; to develop a model; to investigate the canonical correlation between socioeconomic and digital development indicators by the canonical analysis methods; to investigate the dispersion of canonical variables observations and to find out the most significant areas of digitalisation improvement. As a result of the study, the highest correlation was evaluated between the network readiness index and the socioeconomic progress index (coefficient 0.98). The socioeconomic progress index is also related to the e-government development index (0.92) and the information and communication technology development index (0.90). Thus, the analysis performed in the paper of the correlation between the sets of digitalisation and the socioeconomic development indexes allows us to conclude the presence of a high level of their significant influence and the importance of forming a system of measures to ensure the proper level of the digital development of the country in these directions. Keywords: modelling, methods, canonical analysis, digitalisation, socioeconomic development, economic security of the state.
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