决策分析模块在省际流域水资源分配中的应用:越南 Bang Giang - Ky Cung 河流域案例研究

Hung Anh Nguyen, Quoc Viet Tran, Xuan Manh Trinh Trinh, Duc Quy v Luong
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引用次数: 0

摘要

层次分析法(AHP)已被广泛应用于世界范围内与水资源分配相关的众多研究中。然而,在越南,使用该方法确定优先顺序和配水比例的工作却寥寥无几。本文重点介绍了将 AHP 方法集成到 Excel 工具(DAME)决策分析模块中,利用各种输入数据,如用水量、产值、增长率等,确定 Bang Giang - Ky Cung 河流域水资源分配的优先顺序和比例。根据高平省、谅山省和北干省到 2025 年的社会经济增长情景,考虑到四个主要用水户类别(工业、畜牧业、农业、水产养殖业),并考虑到整个流域,结果表明,农业水资源分配比例最高,约占 34%,其次是畜牧业,占 33%,再次是工业,占 22%,最后是水产养殖业,占 11%。本文的研究结果可作为流域内各省近期规划的参考,以促进水行业的发展,提高生产能力,有效管理水资源,实现 2021 至 2025 年期间的社会经济发展目标。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Application of decision analysis module in water resources allocation of inter-provincial river basins: A case study at the Bang Giang - Ky Cung river basin, Vietnam
The analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method has been widely applied in numerous studies related to water allocation worldwide. However, in Vietnam, very few works have addressed the determination of priority orders and water allocation proportions using this method. This paper focuses on the application of AHP, integrated into the decision analysis module for Excel tool (DAME), to determine the priority order and proportion of water resource allocation for the Bang Giang - Ky Cung river basin using various input data, such as water usage, production values, growth rates, etc. The results, based on scenarios of socio-economic growth up to 2025 for Cao Bang, Lang Son, and Bac Kan provinces, taking into account four main water user categories (industry, livestock, agriculture, aquaculture), and considering the entire basin, indicate that the highest proportion of water resource allocation is for the agriculture, approximately 34%, followed by livestock at 33%, industry at 22%, and finally aquaculture at 11%. The findings of this paper can serve as a reference for near-future planning to promote the development of water sectors, increase production capacity, and effectively manage water resources to meet socio-economic development targets for the period from 2021 to 2025 in the provinces located within the basin.
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