战后国外积极旅游部门在以往危机经验背景下的发展前景

Mykhailo Kollehaiev
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It is shown that at this stage, the expansion of the geography of travel was initiated by amateur hikes, the main form of commercial tours was of a hiking type, and the budget segment prevailed in the price gradation of commercial tours. \nSince the mid-2000s, the popularity of hiking in foreign countries has sharply increased among Ukrainian tourists. The geography of hiking, climbing, river rafting, and trekking tours has grown to dozens of countries in a few years. The growing number and variety of trips abroad and the steady mass demand for commercial, sports, and amateur foreign active trips in the 2010s led to the formation of a new segment of active foreign travel for Ukraine.  Unmet growth in demand in the period up to 2014 led to progress and expansion of the range of activities of regional tour operators in all price categories of travel. 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引用次数: 0

摘要

目前,全球旅游业在 COVID-19 大流行后的恢复速度表明,积极旅游(国际分类中的 "探 险旅游")领域对危机的复原力和适应力最强,在最近几十年中呈现出最可持续的增长 (高达 17%)。因此,探险旅游(占世界旅游总数的 26%以上)仍然是全球旅游业发展的真正火车头。在乌克兰,这一领域的发展经历了与各种规模的危机有关的波动:从 2008 年的全球金融危机、2014 年克里米亚被吞并、顿巴斯的 ATO(反恐行动)到 2020-2021 年的 COVID-19 大流行病以及 2022 年俄罗斯联邦对乌克兰的全面军事侵略。所有这些冲击以及随之而来的活跃外国游客群体特征、地域和结构的变化都揭示了某些趋势。对这些趋势的分析有助于确定战后该细分市场的发展前景。本研究的主要目的是研究战后乌克兰国外积极旅游市场的发展前景。文章介绍了 20 世纪 90 年代至 21 世纪初这一旅游细分市场形成的背景和过程。文章分析了动机、地理和经济因素对其在乌克兰形成过程的影响特点。结果表明,在这一阶段,旅游地域的扩展是由业余徒步旅行发起的,商业旅游的主要形式是徒步旅行,在商业旅游的价格分级中,经济型旅游占主导地位。自 2000 年代中期以来,乌克兰游客在国外徒步旅行的受欢迎程度急剧上升。几年间,远足、登山、漂流和徒步旅行的地域已扩展到几十个国家。2010 年代,出国旅游的数量和种类不断增加,对商业、体育和业余国外活动旅游的大众需求稳定,从而形成了乌克兰国外活动旅游的新领域。 截至 2014 年,由于需求增长未得到满足,地区旅游运营商在所有价格类别的旅游活动中都取得了进展并扩大了活动范围。在此期间,商业旅游的价格分级中,预算和中档旅游占主导地位。文章介绍了建议市场中活跃旅游团的地理和价格细分的形成过程。文章分析了乌克兰危机时期市场地理和价格指标结构的变化趋势。以该细分市场的主要运营商为例,分析了需求价格结构的趋势、适应机制以及 2014 年危机期间的市场恢复情况。分析了战争结束后国外积极旅游发展领域的中期发展前景。特别是,在未受爆炸物污染的地区,即喀尔巴阡山脉和波迪利亚地区,将以国内游取代预算和部分中等价格段的旅游。业余出国旅游的数量将增加,地域范围也将继续扩大。同时,由于航空运输价格上涨,旅行费用可能会增加 1.5 倍。也许一些习惯于徒步旅行条件的商业旅行团的常客会参加这些旅行。高价位和部分中价位的积极旅游仍会有需求,因为这类积极旅游的目标受众仍能享受到这些旅游,但仍不会普及。关键词:探险旅游、积极旅游、业余旅行、廉价航空公司。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
PROSPECTS OF THE POST-WAR DEVELOPMENT OF THE FOREIGN ACTIVE TRAVEL SEGMENT IN THE CONTEXT OF THE PREVIOUS CRISIS EXPERIENCE
The current pace of recovery of the global tourism industry after the COVID-19 pandemic demonstrates that the segment of active travel (“Adventure Travel” in the international classification) is the most resilient and adaptive to crises and has shown the most sustainable growth in recent decades (up to 17%). Thus, the segment of adventure tourism (more than 26% of all trips in the world) remains a true locomotive for the development of global tourism. In Ukraine, the development of this area has experienced fluctuations related to crises of various scales: from the global financial crisis of 2008, the annexation of Crimea in 2014, and the ATO (Anti-Terrorist Operation) in Donbas to the COVID-19 pandemic of 2020-2021 and the full-scale military aggression of the Russian Federation in Ukraine in 2022. All these shocks and subsequent changes in the mass character, geography, and structure of the active foreign travel segment revealed certain trends. Analysis of these trends can help determine the prospects for the development of this segment in the post-war period. The main purpose of the research is to study the development prospects of the foreign active travel segment in Ukraine in the post-war period. The article shows the background and describes the process of formation of this segment of travel in the period from the 1990s to the early 2000s. The features of the influence of motivational, geographical, and economic factors on the process of its formation in Ukraine are analyzed. It is shown that at this stage, the expansion of the geography of travel was initiated by amateur hikes, the main form of commercial tours was of a hiking type, and the budget segment prevailed in the price gradation of commercial tours. Since the mid-2000s, the popularity of hiking in foreign countries has sharply increased among Ukrainian tourists. The geography of hiking, climbing, river rafting, and trekking tours has grown to dozens of countries in a few years. The growing number and variety of trips abroad and the steady mass demand for commercial, sports, and amateur foreign active trips in the 2010s led to the formation of a new segment of active foreign travel for Ukraine.  Unmet growth in demand in the period up to 2014 led to progress and expansion of the range of activities of regional tour operators in all price categories of travel. The budget and middle segment prevailed in the price gradation of commercial tours during this period. The article shows the process of formation of geographic and price segmentation of active tours in the market of proposals. The tendencies of changes in the structure of geographical and price indicators of the market during the crisis periods in Ukraine are analyzed. Based on the example of the main operators in this market segment, the trends in the price structure of demand, mechanisms for adaptation, and recovery of the market during the 2014 crisis are analyzed. The prospects for the development of the foreign active travel development segment after the end of the war in the medium term are shown. In particular, there will be a replacement of tours of the budget and partially middle price segments with domestic tours in regions not contaminated with explosive objects, namely in the Carpathians and Podilia. The number of amateur trips abroad will grow, and geography will continue to expand. At the same time, due to the rise in the price of air transportation, the cost of trips can increase by 1.5 times. Perhaps some of the regular customers of commercial tours who are accustomed to hiking conditions will participate in these trips. Active travel in the high and partially mid-price segments will remain in demand, as they will remain accessible to the target audience of this category of active travelers, but they will still not be widespread. Keywords: adventure tourism, active travel, amateur trips, low-cost airlines.
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