根据 SPI-3 评估斯洛伐克东部和塞尔维亚北部历史上的短时降水不足情况

T. Soľáková, Martina Zeleňáková, Hany Abd-elhamid, Milan Gocic, H. Hlavatá, Peter Bujanský, Miroslav Garaj
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引用次数: 0

摘要

短期降水不足是造成农业干旱的主要原因之一,会对社会、环境和经济等各个方面产生深远影响。这种复杂的自然现象因降水模式的变化而受到更多关注。使用 SPI-3 指数对斯洛伐克东部地区和塞尔维亚北部地区三个月内的降水异常进行定量测量,是了解和管理这些气候条件不同的国家的干旱状况的一种有价值的方法。SPI-3 对农民、政策制定者和水资源管理者在干旱期间做出灌溉、作物选择和水资源分配的明智决策大有裨益。在塞尔维亚北部和斯洛伐克东部,极端降水异常经常发生在秋季。预测极端降水异常现象,尤其是生长季节的极端降水异常现象,对于依赖农业的国家进行有效的自然风险管理是非常合理和必要的。塞尔维亚北部极端降水量不足的平均间隔时间为 3.1 至 5.1 年,而斯洛伐克东部则为 3.2 至 5.9 年。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An assessment of historical short-time precipitation deficiency in eastern Slovakia and northern Serbia according to the SPI-3
Short-term precipitation deficiency is one of the primary causes of agricultural drought, which can have far-reaching consequences on various aspects such as society, environment, and the economy. This complex natural phenomenon attracts more attention due to changes in precipitation pattern. The use of the SPI-3 index for the quantitative measure of precipitation anomalies over a three-month period across the eastern part of Slovakia and the northern part of Serbia is a valuable approach in understanding and managing drought conditions in these countries with different climate conditions. The SPI-3 can be highly beneficial for the farmers, policymakers, and water resource managers when it comes to making informed decisions about irrigation, crop selection and water allocation during drought events. In northern Serbia and eastern Slovakia, the extreme precipitation anomalies often occur during the autumn season. Predicting extreme rainfall anomalies, especially during the growing season, is highly justified and essential for effective natural risk management in agriculture-dependent countries. The average inter-arrival time of an extreme precipitation deficit is in the north of Serbia ranges from 3.1 to 5.1 years, while in the east of Slovakia it ranges from 3.2 to 5.9 years.
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