能源转型与减少气候变化:宏观经济分析

IF 4.6 Q2 MATERIALS SCIENCE, BIOMATERIALS
Lucas Bretschger
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文将再生能源的特点纳入了一个包含气候变化的动态宏观经济模型。新能源的学习和规模经济可降低减排成本,提高去碳化速度。我为再生能源的发展、排放、消费和人口提供了闭式分析解决方案。清洁和肮脏能源投入之间的替代弹性、气候政策的严格程度以及潜在的原材料稀缺性构成了到 2050 年实现碳中和的关键条件。我发现,要实现及时的碳淘汰,需要能源部门的充分替代、再生能源的持续学习和规模效应,以及积极的气候政策,而即使再生能源的成本大幅下降,积极的气候政策也是不可或缺的。再生能源使用引起的原材料稀缺会减缓过渡进程,但可以通过更严格的气候政策以适度的经济成本加以弥补。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Energy transition and climate change abatement: A macroeconomic analysis

The paper integrates the characteristics of regenerative energies into a dynamic macroeconomic model with climate change. Learning and economies of scale in new energy moderate the cost of emissions reductions and increase the speed of decarbonization. I provide closed-form analytical solutions for the development of regenerative energies, emissions, consumption, and population. The elasticity of substitution between clean and dirty energy inputs, stringency of climate policy, and potential raw material scarcity constitute critical conditions for reaching carbon neutrality by 2050. I find that a timely carbon phase-out requires sufficient substitution in the energy sector, continued learning and scale effects in regenerative energies, and active climate policy, which is indispensable even with enormous cost degression of regenerative energies. Raw material scarcity induced by regenerative energy use slows down the transition but can be overcompensated by more stringent climate policy at a moderate economic cost.

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来源期刊
ACS Applied Bio Materials
ACS Applied Bio Materials Chemistry-Chemistry (all)
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
2.10%
发文量
464
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