超越临界点：阈值和影响

IF 15.1 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

One Earth Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI:10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.015

Laura M. Pereira, Benjamin Abbott, Jean Lynch-Stieglitz, Jennifer Baltzer, Ronja Reese, Emily Hill, Marco Gaetani, Camilo Mora, Saskia E. Werners, Michael Hagenlocher

{"title":"超越临界点：阈值和影响","authors":"Laura M. Pereira, Benjamin Abbott, Jean Lynch-Stieglitz, Jennifer Baltzer, Ronja Reese, Emily Hill, Marco Gaetani, Camilo Mora, Saskia E. Werners, Michael Hagenlocher","doi":"10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.015","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Anthropogenic impacts have perturbed the planet to the edge of the known “safe operating space” for human civilization, and it is now practically certain that global climate will overshoot the “safe” temperature limits of the Paris Agreement. In this unprecedented future, there is a growing risk of crossing tipping points into a new, and potentially irreversible, state. This Voices asks, where are the thresholds, and the potential broader impacts, of crossing tipping points in an overshoot world?</p>","PeriodicalId":52366,"journal":{"name":"One Earth","volume":"7 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":15.1000,"publicationDate":"2023-12-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Overshooting tipping points: Thresholds and impacts\",\"authors\":\"Laura M. Pereira, Benjamin Abbott, Jean Lynch-Stieglitz, Jennifer Baltzer, Ronja Reese, Emily Hill, Marco Gaetani, Camilo Mora, Saskia E. Werners, Michael Hagenlocher\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.015\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>Anthropogenic impacts have perturbed the planet to the edge of the known “safe operating space” for human civilization, and it is now practically certain that global climate will overshoot the “safe” temperature limits of the Paris Agreement. In this unprecedented future, there is a growing risk of crossing tipping points into a new, and potentially irreversible, state. This Voices asks, where are the thresholds, and the potential broader impacts, of crossing tipping points in an overshoot world?</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":52366,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"One Earth\",\"volume\":\"7 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":15.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-12-15\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"One Earth\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"93\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.015\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"环境科学与生态学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"One Earth","FirstCategoryId":"93","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.015","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

摘要

人为影响已将地球扰动到人类文明已知 "安全运行空间 "的边缘，现在几乎可以肯定，全球气候将超过《巴黎协定》规定的 "安全 "温度极限。在这个前所未有的未来，越过临界点进入新的、可能无法逆转的状态的风险越来越大。本期《声音》提出的问题是：在一个超调的世界中，跨越临界点的阈值在哪里，以及跨越临界点可能产生的更广泛影响在哪里？

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

查看原文本刊更多论文

Overshooting tipping points: Thresholds and impacts

Anthropogenic impacts have perturbed the planet to the edge of the known “safe operating space” for human civilization, and it is now practically certain that global climate will overshoot the “safe” temperature limits of the Paris Agreement. In this unprecedented future, there is a growing risk of crossing tipping points into a new, and potentially irreversible, state. This Voices asks, where are the thresholds, and the potential broader impacts, of crossing tipping points in an overshoot world?

求助全文

通过发布文献求助，成功后即可免费获取论文全文。去求助

来源期刊

One Earth Environmental Science-Environmental Science (all)

CiteScore

18.90

自引率

1.90%

发文量

159

期刊介绍： One Earth, Cell Press' flagship sustainability journal, serves as a platform for high-quality research and perspectives that contribute to a deeper understanding and resolution of contemporary sustainability challenges. With monthly thematic issues, the journal aims to bridge gaps between natural, social, and applied sciences, along with the humanities. One Earth fosters the cross-pollination of ideas, inspiring transformative research to address the complexities of sustainability.