利用飞机辅助最佳路径数据评估热带气旋的实际风压与调整风压关系

IF 16.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Sho Arakane, Takeshi Horinouchi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

热带气旋(TC)的最大持续风速(Vmax)和最低海平面气压(Pmin)之间的关系被称为风压关系(WPR),本文利用飞机观测的最佳路径数据对这一关系进行了研究。平均而言,在给定 Vmax(Pmin)的情况下,Pmin(Vmax)在第 25 个百分位数和第 75 个百分位数之间变化 8.5 hPa(11.0 kt),在第 10 个百分位数和第 90 个百分位数之间变化 17.1 hPa(22.6 kt);还量化了德沃夏克海流强度(CI)数的相应变化。此外,还研究了调整后的 WPR,其中通过多元线性回归纳入了环境条件。利用该方法可将第 25 和 75 百分位数之间的变化减小到 6.9 百帕(9.5 千吨),将第 10 和 90 百分位数之间的变化减小到 13.0 百帕(18.9 千吨)。这些余下的变化表明了 WPR 的内在可变性,表明需要进一步利用观测资料来改进 TC 的强度估计。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Evaluations of Actual and Adjusted Wind–Pressure Relationship of Tropical Cyclone Using Aircraft-Assisted Best Track Data

The relationship between maximum sustained wind speed (Vmax) and minimum sea level pressure (Pmin) of tropical cyclones (TC), which is called the wind–pressure relationship (WPR), is investigated by using best track data in which aircraft observations are used. On average, for given Vmax (Pmin), Pmin (Vmax) varies by 8.5 hPa (11.0 kt) between the 25th and 75th percentiles, and it varies by 17.1 hPa (22.6 kt) between the 10th and 90th percentiles; corresponding variations in the Dvorak Current Intensity (CI) numbers are also quantified. Also investigated is an adjusted WPR in which environmental conditions are incorporated through multiple linear regression. Its utilization reduces the variations to 6.9 hPa (9.5 kt) between the 25th and 75th percentiles and 13.0 hPa (18.9 kt) between the 10th and 90th percentiles. These remaining variations indicate intrinsic variability of WPR, suggesting a need for further utilization of observations to improve the intensity estimation of TCs.

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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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