非法市场对巴西卷烟消费价格弹性的影响。

IF 4 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
Jose Angelo Divino, Philipp Ehrl, Osvaldo Candido, Marcos Aurelio Pereira Valadao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景:烟草税收政策中需要考虑的一个重要因素是非法香烟销售市场。本文的目的是提供在巴西合法和非法市场的卷烟消费的条件和无条件的价格弹性的估计。方法:使用2013年和2019年全国健康调查的微观数据,按收入四分位数和年龄群估计合法和非法卷烟市场中卷烟消费的条件和无条件价格弹性。这种标识是基于品牌信息和政府规定的官方最低卷烟价格,因为低于这个价格的销售是被禁止的,是非法的。研究结果表明,不同年龄群体和不同收入群体的市场类型在价格弹性方面存在联合统计差异。然而,吸非法香烟的人,无论年龄和收入,对价格变化的敏感度都低于那些消费合法品牌的人。结论:非法卷烟市场阻碍了政府征收烟草税收,削弱了以价格为导向的禁烟公共政策的社会影响力。打击非法贸易应成为旨在减少香烟消费的公共政策的主要关注点。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Effects of the illicit market on the price elasticity of cigarette consumption in Brazil.

Background: An important element to consider in tobacco tax policy is the illicit market of cigarette sales. The objective of this paper is to provide estimates of both conditional and unconditional price elasticities of cigarette consumption in the licit and illicit markets in Brazil.

Methodology: Microdata from the National Health Survey in 2013 and 2019 are used to estimate conditional and unconditional price elasticities of cigarette consumption in the licit and illicit cigarette markets by income quartiles and age cohorts. The identification is based on brand information and the official minimum cigarette price defined by the government, as sales below this price are prohibited and illegal.

Findings: The results, robust to potential endogeneity, indicate that there is joint statistical difference in price elasticities across age cohorts and income groups by market type. However, individuals smoking illicit cigarettes, regardless of age cohort and income quartiles, are less sensitive to price changes than those consuming licit brands.

Conclusions: The illicit cigarette market prevents the government from collecting tobacco tax revenues and weakens the social reach of price-oriented antismoking public policies. Fighting the illicit trade should be a major concern of public policies aiming at reducing cigarette consumption.

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来源期刊
Tobacco Control
Tobacco Control 医学-公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
CiteScore
9.10
自引率
26.90%
发文量
223
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Tobacco Control is an international peer-reviewed journal covering the nature and consequences of tobacco use worldwide; tobacco''s effects on population health, the economy, the environment, and society; efforts to prevent and control the global tobacco epidemic through population-level education and policy changes; the ethical dimensions of tobacco control policies; and the activities of the tobacco industry and its allies.
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