Tin Htet Oo, Sukanya Tianviwat, Songchai Thitasomakul, Phongpat Sontamino
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A System Dynamics Model of Caries Preventive Interventions in Thailand's School-Aged Population.
Purpose: To compare the long-term effects of the Ministry of Public Health's (MOPH) caries preventive interventions for 6- to 12-year-olds (supervised toothbrushing [STB], dental sealant, and combined STB+sealant) to the base case (no intervention) using the System Dynamics Model.
Materials and methods: The System Dynamics Model was used to evaluate the intervention scenarios of supervised toothbrushing (STB), sealant, and combined STB+sealant with the base-case scenario. The effectiveness data for the model's interventions were obtained from systematic reviews and meta-analyses.
Results: The model determined that the caries-free population increased by 36.2%, 25.5%, and 14.5%, while the caries-affected population decreased by 8.1%, 5.5%, and 3.1% in the combined STB+sealant, sealant, and supervised toothbrushing scenarios compared to the base case at 15 years of age.
Conclusion: Combined STB+sealant is the most efficacious intervention among those administered to children between the ages of 6 and 12 with permanent teeth. In addition, the System Dynamics Model could be helpful in comparing interventions or policies to determine the optimal intervention for a given population.
期刊介绍：
Clinicians, general practitioners, teachers, researchers, and public health administrators will find this journal an indispensable source of essential, timely information about scientific progress in the fields of oral health and the prevention of caries, periodontal diseases, oral mucosal diseases, and dental trauma. Central topics, including oral hygiene, oral epidemiology, oral health promotion, and public health issues, are covered in peer-reviewed articles such as clinical and basic science research reports; reviews; invited focus articles, commentaries, and guest editorials; and symposium, workshop, and conference proceedings.
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