[Comparison of Heart, Grace Scores and clinical parameters as predictors of cardiovascular events in patients with chest pain in the Emergency Department].

Objective: Risk assessment of patients with chest pain is based on clinical parameters; however, without a scoring system, such as risk stratification scales, estimates are less precise and accurate. The aim of this paper was to compare the HEART, GRACE score and clinical parameters in the prediction of major cardiovascular events (cardiovascular mortality or acute myocardial infarction) during hospitalization, in patients with chest pain attended in the emergency department.

Methods: A descriptive observational study of patients with ischemic chest pain, who attended to the Miguel Servet University Hospital emergency department (Zaragoza, Spain) during one year was carried out. HEART and GRACE scores were calculated retrospectively from clinical history. Quantitative variables were expressed as mean (±standard deviation), and qualitative variables as frequencies and percentages. A bivariate analysis was carried out using the chi-square test. The performance of the scales and clinical parameters was compared by calculating the area under the curve. The primary outcome was the occurrence of a major cardiovascular event (cardiovascular mortality or acute myocardial infarction) during hospital admission.

Results: 306 patients were registered (66.3% men, n=203), with a mean age of 71.45±12.85 years and a 48.7% history of ischemic heart disease. The areas under the curve for HEART scales, GRACE and clinical parameters were 0.80 (95% CI: 0.73-0.86), 0.79 (95% CI: 0.72-0.85) and 0.74 (95% CI: 0.68-0.80), respectively. During hospitalization, the incidence of the primary event was 13.4% and no low-risk patient, in both scales, presented a major cardiovascular event.

Conclusions: In patients with ischemic chest pain attended in the emergency department, the GRACE and HEART scale have a greater area under curve than clinical parameters.