坦桑尼亚经济增长与环境污染:一个环境库兹涅茨曲线分析

Wiggins Aaron Kyatikila, Joseph Shitundu, Godius Kahyarara
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在经济增长和环境保护之间建立长期联系是学者和政策制定者之间持续讨论的主题。从两个不同的角度来看待环境质量与经济增长的关系。根据第一种观点,保护环境和发展经济是不可能同时进行的,因为这样做将不可避免地导致其中之一的灭绝或两者的灭绝。另一种观点认为,经济发展和更高的环境质量可以同时实现,因为经济增长提高了收入水平,而收入水平又提高了对环境保护的需求。然而,对于应该开发多少环境资源来支持经济的快速发展,存在分歧。本研究采用环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假设的方法研究坦桑尼亚经济增长与环境污染之间的关系。坦桑尼亚1970年至2018年的经济年度数据用于协整程序的ARDL边界检验。证据表明,环境污染和经济增长呈u型关系,这排除了坦桑尼亚传统EKC的存在。与许多新兴经济体一样,如果经济扩张继续超过阈值水平,预计坦桑尼亚的环境污染将加剧。经济增长和环境污染之间的u型关系对政策制定很重要,因为经济增长和清洁的环境都能增进福利;因此,两种政策可能是相互支持而不是对立的。这可以通过建立适当的环境、法律和体制框架来实现。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Economic Growth and Environmental Pollution in Tanzania: An Environmental Kuznets Curve Analysis
The creation of a long-term linkage between economic growth and environmental protection is a subject of an ongoing discussion among scholars and policymakers. The relationship between environmental quality and economic growth is viewed from two different angles. According to the first, it is impossible to protect the environment and increase the economy at the same time since doing so will inevitably result in the extinction of either one or both. The other contends that economic advancement and higher environmental quality can be achieved simultaneously since increasing economic growth raises income levels, which in turn increases the demand for environmental protection. However, there is a disagreement over how much environmental resources should be exploited to support rapid economic expansion. This study used the approach of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis to investigate the relationship between economic growth and environmental pollution in Tanzania. Tanzania’s economy annual data from 1970 to 2018 was used in the ARDL bounds testing for cointegration procedures. The evidence suggests that environmental pollution and economic growth have a U-shaped relationship, which rules out the existence of a traditional EKC in Tanzania. Like in many emerging economies, environmental pollution is anticipated to rise in Tanzania if economic expansion continues beyond a threshold level. The U-shaped link between economic growth and environmental pollution is important for policy formulation because both economic growth and a clean environment are welfare-enhancing; therefore, it is possible to have two policies that are mutually supportive rather than antagonistic. This can be achieved by having a proper environmental, legal, and institutional frameworks.
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