水库对乔治亚、南卡罗来纳和北卡罗来纳选定的洪水频率和日平均流量特征的影响

Toby D. Feaster, Jonathan W. Musser
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引用次数: 0

摘要

欲了解更多信息,请联系:南大西洋水科学中心主任。地质勘探局美国地质勘探局(USGS)与南卡罗来纳运输部合作已有很长一段时间,目的是开发估算农村和城市河流洪水的震级和频率的方法,这些河流几乎没有调节或潮汐的影响。作为先前调查的一部分,还对受管制河流上的选定河道进行了洪水频率估计。本报告评估了蓄水对洪水频率特征的影响,通过比较18个长期美国地质勘测局(USGS)在乔治亚州、南卡罗来纳州和北卡罗来纳州的18个长期美国地质勘测局(USGS)的长期河流(定义为有30年或以上记录的河流)在调节前后(蓄水前后)期间的年超过概率(AEP)流量。为了评估这些统计数据的差异如何受到记录期间和这些记录中捕获的水文条件(可视为自然变率)的影响,计算了代表这三个州不受管制条件的另外18个美国地质调查局长期河流的AEP流量,并对这些记录的前半部分和后半部分进行了比较。在有调控前后记录期的18个长期河道中,17个河道既有峰值流量,也有日平均流量。为了进一步评估水库如何影响更大范围的水流特征,大自然保护协会的水文变化指标软件被用来比较其中16个长期河道在管制前和管制后记录的日平均流量所产生的选定的水流特征。为了比较这种流量统计的自然变异性,还比较了18个不受管制的河流上的17个长期河流的两个记录时期(上半年和下半年)。本报告中所包括的一条不受管制河流的剩余长期流量只有年峰值流量,因此不包括在水文变化分析中。在美国地质调查局于2023年完成的另一项调查中,对乔治亚州、南卡罗来纳州和北卡罗来纳州72条河流进行了洪水频率统计,分别计算了50年、20年、10年、4年、2年、1年、0.5年和0.2% AEP流量(也分别称为2年、5年、10年、25年、50年、100年、200年和500年复发间隔的流量)。在这72条河中,发现29条河是冗余的,即一种河的流域包含在另一种河的流域中(嵌套),两个流域的大小相似。在剩下的43个流域中,有39个流域75%或更多的流域面积在瀑布线以上。这39条河流被包括在本次调查中,以开发区域回归方程,该方程可用于估计乔治亚州、南卡罗来纳州和北卡罗来纳州受管制的河流中未被控制位置的洪水频率统计数据,其中75%或更多的流域位于瀑布线以上。洪水频率回归方程是上游水库排水面积和最大蓄水指数的函数。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Effects of impoundments on selected flood-frequency and daily mean streamflow characteristics in Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina
First posted August 11, 2023 For additional information, contact: Director, South Atlantic Water Science CenterU.S. Geological Survey1770 Corporate Drive, suite 500Norcross, GA 30093Contact Pubs Warehouse The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) has a long history of working cooperatively with the South Carolina Department of Transportation to develop methods for estimating the magnitude and frequency of floods for rural and urban streams that have minimal to no regulation or tidal influence. As part of those previous investigations, flood-frequency estimates also have been generated for selected streamgages on regulated streams. This report assesses the effects of impoundments on flood-frequency characteristics by comparing annual exceedance probability (AEP) streamflows from pre- and post-regulated (before and after impoundment) periods at 18 long-term USGS streamgages, which is defined as a streamgage with 30 or more years of record, in Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina. For an assessment of how differences in such statistics can be influenced by period of record and hydrologic conditions captured in those records, which could be considered as natural variability, AEP streamflows at an additional 18 long-term USGS streamgages that represent unregulated conditions in those three States were computed and compared for the first and last half of those records.Of the 18 long-term streamgages with pre- and post-regulated periods of record, 17 streamgages had both peak streamflows and daily mean streamflows available. To further assess how impoundments may influence a broader range of streamflow characteristics, The Nature Conservancy’s Indicators of Hydrologic Alteration software was used to compare selected streamflow characteristics generated from daily mean streamflows for pre- and post-regulated periods of record at 16 of those long-term streamgages. For comparison of the natural variability of such streamflow statistics, two periods of record (first half and last half) also were compared at 17 of the 18 long-term streamgages on unregulated streams. The remaining long-term streamgage on an unregulated stream included in this report had only annual peak streamflows and, therefore, was not included in the hydrologic alteration analysis.In a separate USGS investigation completed in 2023, flood-frequency statistics for the 50-, 20-, 10-, 4-, 2-, 1-, 0.5-, and 0.2-percent AEP streamflows (also known as the 2-, 5-, 10-, 25-, 50-, 100-, 200-, and 500-year recurrence interval streamflows, respectively) were computed for 72 streamgages on regulated streams in Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina. Of those 72 streamgages, 29 streamgages were found to be redundant, which is a situation where the drainage basin of one streamgage is contained inside another (nested) and the two basins are of similar size. For the remaining 43 streamgages, 39 had basins where 75 percent or more of the drainage area was above the Fall Line. Those 39 streamgages were included in this investigation to develop regional regression equations that can be used to estimate the flood-frequency statistics at ungaged locations on regulated streams in Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina in which 75 percent or more of the drainage basin is located above the Fall Line. The flood-frequency regression equations are functions of drainage area and maximum storage index computed for upstream reservoirs.
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