能源消耗预测的混合DNN多层LSTM模型

Q1 Mathematics
Mona AL-Ghamdi, Abdullah AL-Malaise AL-Ghamdi, Mahmoud Ragab
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在一个能源需求不断增长的世界里,预测能源消耗的能力对未来的增长和发展至关重要。近年来,深度学习模型在能源预测方面取得了重大进展。本研究采用混合深度神经网络(DNN)多层长短期记忆(LSTM)模型预测家庭能源消耗。在评估模型时,使用个体家庭用电量数据集对模型进行训练、验证和测试。对数据进行预处理,使预测误差最小化。随后,采用DNN算法提取空间特征,并采用多层LSTM模型进行顺序学习。由于实际消费趋势与预测趋势相吻合,该模型显示出高度准确的预测性能。决定系数为0.99911,均方根误差为0.02410,平均绝对误差为0.01565,平均绝对百分比误差为0.01826。还训练了DNN模型和LSTM模型,以研究所提出的模型将提供多少改进。该模型的性能优于DNN和LSTM模型。此外,与其他深度学习模型类似,该模型的性能优越,提供了准确可靠的能耗预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Hybrid DNN Multilayered LSTM Model for Energy Consumption Prediction
The ability to predict energy consumption in a world in which energy needs are ever-increasing is important for future growth and development. In recent years, deep learning models have made significant advancements in energy forecasting. In this study, a hybrid deep neural network (DNN) multilayered long short-term memory (LSTM) model was used to predict energy consumption in households. When evaluating the model, the individual household electric power consumption dataset was used to train, validate, and test the model. Preprocessing was applied to the data to minimize any prediction errors. Afterward, the DNN algorithm extracted the spatial features, and the multilayered LSTM model was used for sequential learning. The model showed a highly accurate predictive performance, as the actual consumption trends matched the predictive trends. The coefficient of determination, root-mean-square error, mean absolute error, and mean absolute percentage error were found to be 0.99911, 0.02410, 0.01565, and 0.01826, respectively. A DNN model and LSTM model were also trained to study how much improvement the proposed model would provide. The proposed model showed better performance than the DNN and LSTM models. Moreover, similar to other deep learning models, the proposed model’s performance was superior and provided accurate and reliable energy consumption predictions.
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来源期刊
Applied Sciences
Applied Sciences Mathematics-Applied Mathematics
CiteScore
6.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
11 weeks
期刊介绍: APPS is an international journal. APPS covers a wide spectrum of pure and applied mathematics in science and technology, promoting especially papers presented at Carpato-Balkan meetings. The Editorial Board of APPS takes a very active role in selecting and refereeing papers, ensuring the best quality of contemporary mathematics and its applications. APPS is abstracted in Zentralblatt für Mathematik. The APPS journal uses Double blind peer review.
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