政府预算执行中的预算拨款对市场参与的影响:以坦桑尼亚南部高地地区玉米为例

David Malima Biswalo, Deus Dominic Ngaruko, Timothy Martin Lyanga
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在预算执行范围内的政府预算拨款对于推动坦桑尼亚农业转型议程具有重要意义。然而,农业公共支出审查研究表明,除了坦桑尼亚的少数地理区域外,政府预算拨款通常不足以实现从自给农业到商业农业的理想转变。因此,本文调查了政府预算分配在预算执行中促进玉米商业化的关键作用,玉米是坦桑尼亚的主要粮食作物和经济作物。它还评估影响预算拨款执行情况的因素。采用描述性调查设计,进行横断面调查,收集南部高地地区姆贝亚和松圭地区180名地方政府官员的数据。采用SPSS (Statistical Package for Social Sciences)软件对数据进行描述性统计和多元回归分析。通过Weak (Wk)和Strong (St)对均值的解释,使用均值和标准差来衡量预算分配。研究结果表明,预算拨款的手段是强有力的,通过市场参与衡量,预算拨款下的所有四个变量都对玉米商业化产生了积极影响。从参数估计来看,标准化β系数值分别为0.468、0.091、0.030和0.167。此外,调查结果还表明并证实了2003年《马普托宣言》的要求,2014年《马拉博宣言》重申了这一要求,即非洲各国政府将至少10%的国家预算用于农业。基于这些发现,研究人员得出结论,预算执行中的有效和高效的预算分配对于实现政府的发展目标和目的至关重要,包括农业从自给到商业的转变。建议加强各级政府预算执行过程
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Influence of Budget Allocations within Government Budget Execution on Market Participation: Case of Maize in the Southern Highland regions of Tanzania
Government budget allocations within budget execution are important in pushing the agricultural transformation agenda in Tanzania. However, agriculture public expenditure review studies show that with the exception of a few geographical areas in Tanzania, government budget allocations have generally been insufficient to bring about the desirable transformation from subsistence to commercial agriculture. Thus, this paper investigates the pivotal role of government budget allocations within budget execution in facilitating the commercialisation of maize, a crop that is both a major food and cash crop in Tanzania. It also assesses the factors that affect the performance of budget allocations. The descriptive survey design was employed whereby a cross-sectional survey was conducted to collect data from 180 local government officials in the Mbeya and Songwe regions that were sampled in the southern highland regions. Data was analysed through descriptive statistics and multiple regression using Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) software. The mean and standard deviation were used to measure budget allocations via the interpretation of means by Weak (Wk) and Strong (St). The findings show that the means of budget allocations were strong, and all four variables under it exerted a positive influence on maize commercialisation as measured through market participation. From the parameter estimates, standardised beta coefficient values were 0.468, 0.091, 0.030 and 0.167, respectively. In addition, the findings also show and confirm the requirement of the Maputo Declaration of 2003, which was reiterated by the Malabo Declaration of 2014, for governments in Africa to allocate at least 10% of their national budgets to agriculture. Based on the findings, the researchers conclude that effective and efficient budget allocations within budget execution are essential for achieving government development goals and objectives, including the transformation of agriculture from subsistence to commercial. It is recommended that the government should strengthen the budget execution process at all levels of government
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