数字化、能源强度和人口红利对越南经济可持续发展目标的影响

IF 1 Q4 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES
NGO THAI HUNG
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究探讨了数字经济、能源效率和人口转型如何帮助越南实现更可持续的经济发展。数字化、人口红利、能源强度与长期经济发展之间的因果关系尚未得到深入研究。因此,本文旨在研究这些指标之间的不对称关系在越南,这是公认的新兴经济体,使用相对新颖的分位数对分位数回归和格兰杰因果关系方法在不同的分位数。实证结果表明,越南数字创新、能源强度、人口变化和经济增长之间的不对称相互作用主要是正的,尽管所选指标的各个分位数之间存在细微差异。此外,分位数分析的格兰杰因果关系结果表明,在样本期内,数字化、人口红利与经济增长之间存在双向因果关系,而从能源强度到经济增长之间存在单向因果关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Effects of Digitalization, Energy Intensity, and the Demographic Dividend on Viet Nam’s Economic Sustainability Goals
This research examines how the digital economy, energy efficiency, and demographic transition might help Viet Nam achieve more sustainable economic development. The causal association between digitalization, the demographic dividend, energy intensity, and long-term economic development has not been thoroughly investigated yet. Therefore, this paper aims to examine the asymmetric relationship between these indicators in Viet Nam, which is recognized as an emerging economy, using the relatively novel quantile-on-quantile regression and Granger causality approaches in different quantiles. The empirical findings suggest that the asymmetric interaction between digital innovation, energy intensity, demographic change, and economic growth in Viet Nam is primarily positive, even though there are slight differences across various quantiles of the selected indicators. In addition, the outcomes of Granger causality in quantile analysis uncover that, during the sample period, a bidirectional association exists between digitalization, the demographic dividend, and economic growth, while a unidirectional causality runs from energy intensity to economic growth.
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来源期刊
Asian Development Review
Asian Development Review Social Sciences-Development
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
18
审稿时长
53 weeks
期刊介绍: The Asian Development Review is a professional journal for disseminating the results of economic and development research carried out by staff and resource persons of the Asian Development Bank (ADB). The Review stresses policy and operational relevance of development issues rather than the technical aspects of economics and other social sciences. Articles are refereed and intended for readership among economists and social scientists in government, private sector, academia, and international organizations.
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