金钱胜过身份吗?a .地方各级调查结果

Andhik Beni Saputra, Azhari Setiawan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在这篇文章中,我们试图分析在一个由庇护和庇护交换网络主导的新民主国家中,哪些因素成为选民行为的最强决定因素。在这项研究中,我们考察了两个主要变量:贿选和身份政治。以往对印尼选举庇护主义的研究主要集中在其成因和机制上,作为一种选举策略,在选举中获得选举人票。选举动态之后的社会政治背景解释得较少。最初,我们假设使2019年印度尼西亚选举更具爆炸性的身份政治的密集动员将会减少,因为选民也会将他们的投票偏好固化为身份线。然而,通过选择四个地区(N=503)在地方层面进行的选举后调查,我们发现在驱动选民行为方面,贿选是一个比身份政治更强大的变量。此外,区域差异——陆地和沿海地区——在本研究中也很重要,沿海地区的选民更容易接受候选人的物质诱惑。最后,我们的研究结果为印尼民主增添了许多任务,因为在选举中,裙带关系交流是影响选民决策的更有效工具,而不是程序性政治。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Does Money Triumph over Identity? a Survey Findings from the Local Levels
In this article, we try to analyze which factors emerged as the strongest determinants of voters’ behavior in a new democratic country dominated by the web of patronage and clientelistic exchanges. We examine two main variables in this study, vote buying and identity politics. Previous studies on electoral clientelism in Indonesia are mostly centered on its causes and mechanisms as an electoral strategy to garner electoral votes during an election. The socio-political contexts that follow the electoral dynamics are less explained. Initially, we assume that the intensive mobilization of identity politics that made the 2019 Indonesia election more explosive would decrease since voters would also solidify their voting preference into identity lines. However, through a post-election survey at the local level by selecting four districts (N=503), we find that vote buying emerges as a more robust variable in driving voters’ behavior rather than identity politics. Moreover, regional differentiation – land and coastal areas – also matter in this study where voters in the coastal regions are more likely to accept material inducements from candidates. Finally, our findings add many tasks for Indonesian democracy since clientelistic exchanges work as a more effective instrument for affecting voters' decision-making in elections rather than programmatic politics.
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