{"title":"如何以及为什么alpha应该取决于样本量:贝叶斯频率主义者对显著性检验的妥协","authors":"Jesper N. Wulff, Luke Taylor","doi":"10.1177/14761270231214429","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"In management research, fixed alpha levels in statistical testing are ubiquitous. However, in highly powered studies, they can lead to Lindley’s paradox, a situation where the null hypothesis is rejected despite evidence in the test actually supporting it. We propose a sample-size-dependent alpha level that combines the benefits of both frequentist and Bayesian statistics, enabling strict hypothesis testing with known error rates while also quantifying the evidence for a hypothesis. We offer actionable guidelines of how to implement the sample-size-dependent alpha in practice and provide an R-package and web app to implement our method for regression models. By using this approach, researchers can avoid mindless defaults and instead justify alpha as a function of sample size, thus improving the reliability of statistical analysis in management research.","PeriodicalId":22087,"journal":{"name":"Strategic Organization","volume":"46 7","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":5.2000,"publicationDate":"2023-11-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"EXPRESS: How and why alpha should depend on sample size: A Bayesian-frequentist compromise for significance testing\",\"authors\":\"Jesper N. Wulff, Luke Taylor\",\"doi\":\"10.1177/14761270231214429\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"In management research, fixed alpha levels in statistical testing are ubiquitous. However, in highly powered studies, they can lead to Lindley’s paradox, a situation where the null hypothesis is rejected despite evidence in the test actually supporting it. We propose a sample-size-dependent alpha level that combines the benefits of both frequentist and Bayesian statistics, enabling strict hypothesis testing with known error rates while also quantifying the evidence for a hypothesis. We offer actionable guidelines of how to implement the sample-size-dependent alpha in practice and provide an R-package and web app to implement our method for regression models. By using this approach, researchers can avoid mindless defaults and instead justify alpha as a function of sample size, thus improving the reliability of statistical analysis in management research.\",\"PeriodicalId\":22087,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Strategic Organization\",\"volume\":\"46 7\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":5.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-11-06\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Strategic Organization\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1177/14761270231214429\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"管理学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Strategic Organization","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1177/14761270231214429","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS","Score":null,"Total":0}
EXPRESS: How and why alpha should depend on sample size: A Bayesian-frequentist compromise for significance testing
In management research, fixed alpha levels in statistical testing are ubiquitous. However, in highly powered studies, they can lead to Lindley’s paradox, a situation where the null hypothesis is rejected despite evidence in the test actually supporting it. We propose a sample-size-dependent alpha level that combines the benefits of both frequentist and Bayesian statistics, enabling strict hypothesis testing with known error rates while also quantifying the evidence for a hypothesis. We offer actionable guidelines of how to implement the sample-size-dependent alpha in practice and provide an R-package and web app to implement our method for regression models. By using this approach, researchers can avoid mindless defaults and instead justify alpha as a function of sample size, thus improving the reliability of statistical analysis in management research.
期刊介绍:
Strategic Organization is devoted to publishing high-quality, peer-reviewed, discipline-grounded conceptual and empirical research of interest to researchers, teachers, students, and practitioners of strategic management and organization. The journal also aims to be of considerable interest to senior managers in government, industry, and particularly the growing management consulting industry. Strategic Organization provides an international, interdisciplinary forum designed to improve our understanding of the interrelated dynamics of strategic and organizational processes and outcomes.