{"title":"流动性与投资者情绪联合低尾风险溢价研究","authors":"Yuting Hou, Xiu Jin, Weiqiang Huang","doi":"10.21314/jor.2023.006","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Considering the dual risks of extreme downside liquidity and extreme negative sentiment, we introduce the concept of the joint lower-tail risk of liquidity and investor sentiment (LISR) and construct measures to study the issue of lower-tail risk premiums in the Chinese stock market. Our findings provide convincing evidence that the premiums for LISR measures are significant regardless of the sentiment at the market or firm level. Downside liquidity risk and extreme negative sentiment cannot explain the LISR premiums separately, which means that an extreme downside change in liquidity and extreme negative sentiment have a joint effect on future stock returns. In addition, LISR premiums are robust to various portfolio double sorts, hold for various asset pricing factor models and remain significant when controlling for an extensive list of firm characteristics. Our conclusions have obvious value for improving and enriching the theoretical research on investor sentiment and liquidity risk premiums, and they provide a valuable reference for investors aiming to construct portfolios matching their own risk preferences, and for regulators supervising the market.","PeriodicalId":46697,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Risk","volume":"21 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.3000,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Research on the premium for the joint lower-tail risk of liquidity and investor sentiment\",\"authors\":\"Yuting Hou, Xiu Jin, Weiqiang Huang\",\"doi\":\"10.21314/jor.2023.006\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Considering the dual risks of extreme downside liquidity and extreme negative sentiment, we introduce the concept of the joint lower-tail risk of liquidity and investor sentiment (LISR) and construct measures to study the issue of lower-tail risk premiums in the Chinese stock market. Our findings provide convincing evidence that the premiums for LISR measures are significant regardless of the sentiment at the market or firm level. Downside liquidity risk and extreme negative sentiment cannot explain the LISR premiums separately, which means that an extreme downside change in liquidity and extreme negative sentiment have a joint effect on future stock returns. In addition, LISR premiums are robust to various portfolio double sorts, hold for various asset pricing factor models and remain significant when controlling for an extensive list of firm characteristics. Our conclusions have obvious value for improving and enriching the theoretical research on investor sentiment and liquidity risk premiums, and they provide a valuable reference for investors aiming to construct portfolios matching their own risk preferences, and for regulators supervising the market.\",\"PeriodicalId\":46697,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Risk\",\"volume\":\"21 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Risk\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.21314/jor.2023.006\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Risk","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.21314/jor.2023.006","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Research on the premium for the joint lower-tail risk of liquidity and investor sentiment
Considering the dual risks of extreme downside liquidity and extreme negative sentiment, we introduce the concept of the joint lower-tail risk of liquidity and investor sentiment (LISR) and construct measures to study the issue of lower-tail risk premiums in the Chinese stock market. Our findings provide convincing evidence that the premiums for LISR measures are significant regardless of the sentiment at the market or firm level. Downside liquidity risk and extreme negative sentiment cannot explain the LISR premiums separately, which means that an extreme downside change in liquidity and extreme negative sentiment have a joint effect on future stock returns. In addition, LISR premiums are robust to various portfolio double sorts, hold for various asset pricing factor models and remain significant when controlling for an extensive list of firm characteristics. Our conclusions have obvious value for improving and enriching the theoretical research on investor sentiment and liquidity risk premiums, and they provide a valuable reference for investors aiming to construct portfolios matching their own risk preferences, and for regulators supervising the market.
期刊介绍:
This international peer-reviewed journal publishes a broad range of original research papers which aim to further develop understanding of financial risk management. As the only publication devoted exclusively to theoretical and empirical studies in financial risk management, The Journal of Risk promotes far-reaching research on the latest innovations in this field, with particular focus on the measurement, management and analysis of financial risk. The Journal of Risk is particularly interested in papers on the following topics: Risk management regulations and their implications, Risk capital allocation and risk budgeting, Efficient evaluation of risk measures under increasingly complex and realistic model assumptions, Impact of risk measurement on portfolio allocation, Theoretical development of alternative risk measures, Hedging (linear and non-linear) under alternative risk measures, Financial market model risk, Estimation of volatility and unanticipated jumps, Capital allocation.