城市突发事件的形成机制与预防机制

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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着现代化和城市化的发展,城市中人们的经济和生产活动不断扩大,城市在人们的生活中发挥着越来越大的作用。与此同时,城市中的不良因素也随之诞生,导致城市突发事件越来越频繁。因此,城市突发事件的预防和管理变得越来越重要。本文首先分析了城市突发事件的诱发因素,并从三个层面对城市突发事件的主要诱发因素进行了解释。其次,运用社会燃烧理论和系统动力学理论构建突发事件的形成机制,从“燃烧物质”、“助燃剂”和“着火温度”三个角度分析城市突发事件的主要机制。从因果关系图中得到组织管理、公众满意度和公众舆论的反馈回路。从而定性地描述了城市突发事件的形成。最后,从减少内外部矛盾、加强舆论监督和科普教育能力、加强风险评估机制建立三个方面提出了城市突发事件的防范策略。它提供了一种维护城市安全和稳定的方式。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Formation Mechanism and Prevention Mechanism of Urban Emergencies
With the development of modernization and urbanization, the economic and productive activities of people in cities continue to expand, and cities are playing a greater role in people's lives. At the same time, bad factors in cities are born, resulting in urban emergencies becoming more and more frequent. Therefore, the prevention and management of urban emergencies become more and more important. This paper firstly analyzes the inducing factors of urban emergencies, and interprets the main inducing factors of urban emergencies from three levels. Secondly, social combustion theory and system dynamics theory are used to construct the formation mechanism of emergencies, and the main mechanism of urban emergencies is analyzed from the three perspectives of "combustion substance", "combustion promoter" and "ignition temperature". The feedback loop of organization management, public satisfaction and public opinion is obtained from the cause-and-effect diagram. Thus, it qualitatively describes the formation of urban emergencies. Finally, this paper puts forward prevention strategies for urban emergencies from three aspects: reducing internal and external contradictions, strengthening public opinion supervision and science popularization education ability, and enhancing the establishment of risk assessment mechanism. It provides a way to maintain the security and stability of the city.
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