印度主要小麦市场的市场整合

None Udhayan N., A. D. Naik, G. M. Hiremath
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引用次数: 0

摘要

该研究基于二级数据,该数据测试了全国主要小麦市场(拉金普尔、阿格拉、维迪沙、德瓦、哥打和巴兰市场)之间的价格走势和整合情况。2007-08年至2021-22年15年月度小麦价格数据,数据来源:www.agmarknet.gov.in。为了分析主要小麦市场之间的市场整合,我们借助E-views统计软件包,运用增强Dickey-Fuller检验、Johansen协整检验和Granger因果检验。结果表明,就主要小麦市场之间的价格联系而言,市场一体化很强。结果表明,小麦主要市场具有较强的价格关联性,因此具有空间整合性。可以看出,所选小麦市场间存在的单向因果关系多(10),双向因果关系少(3)。从分析中进一步揭示,在短期平衡中,拉金普尔市场的任何价格波动将在5天内得到纠正,阿格拉市场将在3天内得到纠正,哥打市场将在3天内得到纠正。价格信号从一个市场转移到另一个市场,有助于稳定整个空间的价格,创造一个健康的竞争环境。这也将有助于保护生产者和销售者的利益。为了实现一体化的目标,政府应加强市场内部的市场情报和沟通。提出了以下研究建议:a)政府应该补贴提供交通。b)政府和利益相关者应该建议商业银行向农民提供低息长期贷款,因为许多贫困农民负担不起作物机械化。c)应增加政府和其他机构(即非政府组织)的广告,以提高人们对改良农业机械的认识。d)政府和非政府组织应该教育农民。如果农民接受过培训和教育,他们可以使用技术。他们还应该被告知应该使用多少肥料,这样产量才会更高。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Market Integration among Major Wheat Markets in India
The study is based on secondary data which tests the price movement and integration between major national wheat markets i.e. Lakhimpur, Agra, Vidisha, Dewas, Kota and Baran markets. Monthly wheat prices data of 15 years from 2007-08 to 2021-22 which was collected from www.agmarknet.gov.in. To analyze the market integration among major wheat markets, the Augmented Dickey-Fuller test, Johansen Co-integration test and Granger Causality test were applied with the help of E-views statistical package. The results indicated the strong market integration in terms of price linkages among major wheat markets. The results revealed that the major markets of wheat have strong price linkages and thus are spatially integrated. It could be seen that existence of mostly (10) unidirectional causality with few (3) bidirectional causality among selected wheat markets. It was further revealed from the analysis that, any disturbance in price will get corrected in about 5 days in Lakhimpur market, 3 days in Agra market and 3 days in Kota market in short-run equilibrium. The transfer of price signals from one market to another helps in stabilizing the prices over space and create a healthy competitive environment. This would also help to protect the interest of producer-sellers. In order to achieve the goal of integration, the government should strengthen the market intelligence and communication within markets. The following study recommendations were made: a) Government should subsidize provide is transportation. b) Government and stakeholder should advise commercial banks to give low interest long-term loans to farmers because many impoverished farmers can't afford crop mechanization. c) Government and other i.e, NGO advertising should be increased to raise knowledge about improved agricultural machinery. d) Government and other i.e, NGO should educate farmers. Farmers can employ technology if they are trained and educated. They should also be told how much fertilizer to use so it yields more.
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