衡量:计算GDP的更好方法

T. Alexander, C. Dziobek, Marco A. Marini, E. Metreau, Michael Stanger
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引用次数: 7

摘要

为了得出实际GDP, 2008年国民经济核算体系(2008 SNA)推荐了一种称为双重通缩的技术。一些国家使用单一通货紧缩技术,这无法捕捉重要的相对价格变化,并在官方GDP增长中引入估计误差。我们模拟了单一通货紧缩对8个双重通货紧缩国家GDP数据的影响。我们发现,单一通货紧缩造成的误差可能很大,但它们的幅度和方向并不是随着时间和国家的推移而系统性的。我们的结论是,仍在实行单一通缩的国家应转向双重通缩。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Measure Up: A Better Way to Calculate GDP
To derive real GDP, the System of National Accounts 2008 (2008 SNA) recommends a technique called double deflation. Some countries use single deflation techniques, which fail to capture important relative price changes and introduce estimation errors in official GDP growth. We simulate the effects of single deflation to the GDP data of eight countries that use double deflation. We find that errors due to single deflation can be significant, but their magnitude and direction are not systematic over time and across countries. We conclude that countries still using single deflation should move to double deflation.
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