{"title":"日惹特别地区的能源路线图,以增强可再生能源的能力","authors":"Y. Badruzzaman, Sarjiya, Avrin Nur Widiastuti","doi":"10.1109/ISTMET.2014.6936520","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Yogyakarta does not have any non renewable energy sources such as liquid fossil fuels, coal and natural gas. Consequently, these energy resources must be supplied from other provinces. This study purposed to evaluate the existing energy demand and supply in Yogyakarta and to predict the supply and demand by empowering the use of renewable energy which meets the objective of the energy mix and energy elasticity of less than 1. The objectives of energy mix for renewable energy based on KEN and KED scenarios were 17% and 9.28% respectively in 2025. This study used a model of LEAP (Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System) version: 2011.0.0.40. Based on KED scenario, the energy demand in Yogyakarta showed that the highest energy user sector was the transportation and the household sectors. To achieve the objectives of the elasticity ratio of energy, first by decreasing the energy consumption in transportation and electricity sectors. Transportation sector consumed 53.49% of energy but only contributed 10.69% added value to GDP. Utility sector (electricity, water and gas) used 36.41% of energy consumption, but the value added to GDP was only 0.91%. The second step was to increase economic growth in the commercial sector and agriculture. Commercial sector was the highest contributor to GDP at 23.90% but used only 4.25% of energy. The agricultural sector could provide an added value of 18.59% to GDP, but only used 0.50% of energy. With existing resources, renewable energy generation in 2011 accounted for only 0.88% of total load. 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引用次数: 3
摘要
日惹没有任何不可再生能源,如液体化石燃料、煤炭和天然气。因此,这些能源必须从其他省份供应。本研究旨在评估日惹市现有的能源需求和供应,并通过授权使用满足能源结构和能源弹性小于1的目标的可再生能源来预测供需。2025年,基于KEN和KED情景的可再生能源能源结构目标分别为17%和9.28%。本研究采用的模型为LEAP (long - term Energy Alternatives Planning System)版本:2011.0.0.40。根据KED情景,日惹的能源需求表明,能源用户最多的部门是交通和家庭部门。为了实现能源弹性比的目标,首先要减少交通和电力部门的能源消耗。交通运输消耗了53.49%的能源,但增加值只占GDP的10.69%。公用事业部门(电、水、气)消耗了36.41%的能源消耗,但对GDP的增加值仅为0.91%。第二步是促进商业部门和农业的经济增长。商业部门对GDP的贡献最大,占23.90%,但只消耗了4.25%的能源。农业部门可以为GDP提供18.59%的附加值,但只使用0.50%的能源。以现有资源计算,2011年可再生能源发电量仅占总负荷的0.88%。到2025年,可再生能源发电预计将占能源结构的5%。
Roadmap energy in special region of Yogyakarta to empower renewable energy source
Yogyakarta does not have any non renewable energy sources such as liquid fossil fuels, coal and natural gas. Consequently, these energy resources must be supplied from other provinces. This study purposed to evaluate the existing energy demand and supply in Yogyakarta and to predict the supply and demand by empowering the use of renewable energy which meets the objective of the energy mix and energy elasticity of less than 1. The objectives of energy mix for renewable energy based on KEN and KED scenarios were 17% and 9.28% respectively in 2025. This study used a model of LEAP (Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System) version: 2011.0.0.40. Based on KED scenario, the energy demand in Yogyakarta showed that the highest energy user sector was the transportation and the household sectors. To achieve the objectives of the elasticity ratio of energy, first by decreasing the energy consumption in transportation and electricity sectors. Transportation sector consumed 53.49% of energy but only contributed 10.69% added value to GDP. Utility sector (electricity, water and gas) used 36.41% of energy consumption, but the value added to GDP was only 0.91%. The second step was to increase economic growth in the commercial sector and agriculture. Commercial sector was the highest contributor to GDP at 23.90% but used only 4.25% of energy. The agricultural sector could provide an added value of 18.59% to GDP, but only used 0.50% of energy. With existing resources, renewable energy generation in 2011 accounted for only 0.88% of total load. In 2025 the renewable energy generation is expected to contribute to the energy mix by 5%.