信息经济条件下黄金市场的发展前景

Boris Manakhov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的主题是确定非货币化黄金在信息经济中的作用,包括在不稳定、危机、制裁和流行病时期的紧张发展。作者确定了过去五年黄金价格的动态趋势,投资者和行业的需求,中央银行和发达国家的政策。确定了拒绝延长中央银行控制黄金价格的卡特尔协议(CBGA)的意义、原因和后果。这篇文章专门指出了地缘政治(而非金融和经济)风险,这些风险是俄罗斯黄金和外汇储备结构急剧变化以及拒绝将国家财富基金资产转换为美元的根本原因。在这方面正在出现的金矿前景已经确定。俄罗斯黄金和外汇储备的黄金补充强度急剧下降,直至几乎完全停止的原因已经查明。对黄金在信息经济中所谓的“新”功能进行了批判性的分析,表明实际上它只是传统功能的一种转换(适应)。报告显示了在信息经济中扩大数字货币流通和使用的必然性,这将需要改善制度框架,因为虚拟资产(包括可能基于黄金的资产)在支付时被转换成俄罗斯卢布,根据法律,卢布用于支付。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Prospects for the Development of the Gold Market in the Information Economy
The subject of this study is to identify the role of demonetized gold in the information economy, including stressful development during periods of instability, crises, sanctions and pandemic. The author identified trends in the dynamics of gold prices over the past five years, its demand by investors and industry, policies of central banks and developed countries. The significance, reasons and consequences of the refusal to prolong the cartel agreement of the central banks on the control of the price of gold (CBGA) are determined. The article identifies exclusively geopolitical (not financial and economic) risks that underlie a sharp and radical change in the structure of Russian gold and foreign exchange reserves and the refusal to place the National Wealth Fund assets in dollars. The prospects for gold that are opening up in this connection have been identified. The reasons for the sharp decrease in the intensity of the replenishment of Russian gold and foreign exchange reserves with gold until its virtually complete cessation have been identified. A critical analysis of the allegedly “new” functions of gold in the information economy is given, it is shown that in reality it is only a transformation (adaptation) of traditional functions. The inevitability of expanding the circulation and use of digital currency in the information economy is shown, which will require improving the institutional framework, since a virtual asset, including potentially based on gold, is converted into Russian rubles upon payment, which, in accordance with the law, is used to pay.
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