金融和贸易开放对新兴市场经济体金融发展的影响:以土耳其为例

Esin Cakan
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本研究旨在检验1974-2014年期间土耳其金融开放、贸易开放和外国直接投资的强度是否促进了金融发展。使用三个金融发展指标构建世界发展指标的数据。采用自回归分布滞后模型(ARDL)和边界检验来显示变量之间的长期关系。实证结果表明,金融开放和外商直接投资对促进金融发展具有预测力。此外,贸易开放对金融发展没有预测能力。可以得出结论,在土耳其的情况下,金融开放和外国直接投资可以用来促进金融发展和经济增长。这些结果对土耳其与欧盟的关税同盟协议有着非常重要的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of Financial and Trade Openness on Financial Development in Emerging Market Economies: The Case of Turkey
The study aims to examine whether the intensity of financial openness, trade openness and foreign direct investment promoted financial development in Turkey for the period 1974–2014. Three financial development indicators are used constructing the data from the World Development Indicators. Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) and the bounds tests are employed to show the long run relationship among variables. The empirical results suggest that financial openness and foreign direct investment have a predictive power in fostering financial development. More, trade openness does not have predictive power on financial development. It can be concluded that financial openness and foreign direct investment can be used to foster financial development as well as economic growth in the case of Turkey. These results has very important inferences on the Turkey’s Custom Union agreement with the European Union.
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