加纳外债与经济增长:协整与向量误差修正分析

A. Matuka, S. Asafo
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引用次数: 17

摘要

本文采用协整分析和误差修正方法,使用1970-2017年期间的年度时间序列来研究外债对加纳经济增长的影响。我们发现外债流入在长期和短期内都刺激了加纳的增长。其次,我们的研究还证实了长期和短期外债的挤出效应和非线性效应。然而,债务积压只是在短期内得到证实。我们主张明智地分配债务资源,使偿还债务的成本不会超过所借资金的收益。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
EXTERNAL DEBT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN GHANA: A CO-INTEGRATION AND VECTOR ERROR CORRECTION ANALYSIS
This paper employed a co-integration analysis and an error correction methodology to examine the impact of external debt on economic growth in Ghana using annual time series for the period 1970-2017. We found that external debt inflows spur growth in Ghana both in the long-run and short-run. Secondly, our study also confirmed the crowding out effect and the non-linear effect of external debt in the long run and short-run. However, Debt overhang was only confirmed in the short-run. We advocate for a judicious allocation of the debt resources so that the cost of servicing the debt will not outweigh the benefit of the borrowed funds.
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