强化学习在源侧和负载侧功率预测中的应用与展望

Ming Pei, Lin Ye, Jiazheng Lu, Xunjian Xu, S. Pan, Zhenrong Wu, Haohan Liao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着高比例新能源的大规模接入,源负荷双方都存在着高度的不确定性,给电力系统的优化调度带来了巨大的挑战。因此,准确的源负荷功率预测信息可以为新电力系统的调度提供重要的决策支持。近年来,随着人工智能技术的发展,强化学习(RL)已逐步应用于不确定供电功率预测、负荷预测等方面,以支持电网在源、负荷不确定情况下的稳定安全运行。因此,强化学习在以新能源为主的新电力系统中具有很大的应用前景。基于此,本文将对强化学习技术在风电功率预测、光伏功率预测、负荷功率预测、极端天气下的源负荷功率预测等方面的应用进行研究综述。并利用强化学习算法对中国吉林省及其地区某风电场的分布式供电进行预测,作为算例的支持。最后,对强化学习应用于电力负荷预测的发展方向进行了展望和分析。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Application and Prospect of Reinforcement Learning in Power Prediction on Source and Load Sides
With the large-scale access of a high proportion of new energy sources, there is a high degree of uncertainty on both sides of the source and load, which brings huge challenges to the optimal dispatch of the power system. Therefore, accurate power prediction information of the source and load can provide important decision support for the dispatch of the new power system. In recent years, with the development of artificial intelligence technology, reinforcement learning (RL) has been gradually used in uncertain power supply power prediction, load prediction, etc., so as to support the stable and safe operation of power grid under the uncertainty of source and load. Therefore, reinforcement learning has a great application prospect in the new power system dominated by new energy. Based on this, this paper will conduct a research review on the application of reinforcement learning technology to wind power forecasting, photovoltaic power forecasting, load power forecasting, and source-load power forecasting under extreme weather. Besides, the reinforcement learning algorithm is used to predict the distributed power supply of a wind farm in Jilin Province, China and its region, which is used as the support of the calculation example. Finally, the development direction of reinforcement learning applied to source-load power prediction is prospected and analyzed.
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