发展项目的剖析

P. Norden
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引用次数: 40

摘要

研发项目的结构是用努力分配阵列来描述的。提出了一个用于项目投入的累积时间序列的逻辑模型,并讨论了使用这种曲线进行预测的问题。给出了一套规则,在计算机仿真的帮助下,可用于生成项目进度计划。研究了几种规则和限制组合的后果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
On the Anatomy of Development Projects
The structure of an R & D project is described in terms of an Effort-Distribution Array. A logistic model is presented for the cumulative times series of effort devoted to a project, and problems of using such curves for prediction are discussed. A set of rules is given, which, with the aid of computer simulation, can be used to generate a project schedule. The consequences of several combinations of rules and restrictions are examined.
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